asterisk2a + 2014 + economic   54

A!104 – Panama Freaks
58:26 - spin doctor and positioning, PR. // es ist ja bekannt das intendanten des fernsehen mal einen anruf bekommen und es richtig stellen sollen, so wie inter BPK: illegal eingewanderte fluechtlinge. was ein oxymoron. ein fluechtling zu sein ist keine illegale sache! // + 10.000 kids missing! // 1:45:54 - Panama Papers. Journalists have for years papers. And don't use them to shine light on the organised system in the western world of tax evasion/avoidance! Wie fatal.
Panama  Papers  investigative  journalism  journalism  journalismus  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  Turkey  International  spin  doctor  Positioning  PR  manufactured  consent  corporate  media  BPK  refugee  crisis  Greece  Brussels  Rechtsradikalismus  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsradikale  Gewalt  Rechtsruck  Germany  Angela  Merkel  Asylbewerber  Völkerrecht  European  Union  Schengen  Agreement  political  refugee  war  refugee  Human  Rights  Act  Human  Rights  Watch  Human  Trafficking  sex  condition  decency  dignity  humanitarian  crisis  humanitarian  tragedy  Erdogan  Kurds  Middle  East  sex  trade  tax  loopholes  tax  loopoles  Career  Politicians  AfD  NPD  Agenda  2010  ALG2  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  hartz-iv  squeezed  class  job  insecurity  working  poor  Precariat  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  1  Euro  Aufstocker  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  bank  bailout  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  recovery  GFC  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  European  Election  2014  rechtsradikal  Fremdenfeindlichkeit  Ausländerfeindlichkeit  Xenophobia  Xenophobic  PEGIDA  Altersarmut  poverty  poverty  trap  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  c 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
What Happens Next (In Europe)?
the odds of another crisis are higher than a rally to fresh records. [...]
“The 2009-2015 rally originated from two main drivers: a massive stimulus, and credit expansion in China,” said Goette, who’s a partner at his firm in Zug, Switzerland and helps oversee 1 billion Swiss francs ($1 billion).

“European earnings have not followed suit so far. Skepticism regarding central-bank operations has started to emerge.”
ECB  Brussels  recovery  reflate  reflation  China  credit  bubble  Germany  PIGS  zombie  banks  European  Bank  Supervision  European  Economic  Area  European  Election  2014  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  MarioDraghi  OMT  LTRO  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  sovereign  debt  crisis  France  Brexit  Grexit  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  history  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Yanis  Varoufakis  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  youth  unemployment  demographic  bubble  OAP  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  liberal  reform  Precariat  precarious  employment  low  pay  low  income  Minijob  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  1  Euro  Job  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  union  union  Rechtsruck  Bundesbank  fault  lines  shareholder  capitalism  bailout  GFC  2016  PBOC  Exportweltmeister  zombie  Financial  Stability  Board  crony  capitalism  Deutsche  Bank  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  Beton  Gold  Betongold  asset  allocation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Russia  Crimea  Ukraine  U 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Yanis Varoufakis: »MONEY AND POWER«, Public Lecture 2015-11-04
3rd bailout loan $0 went to Greece. All to pay off banks. extend & pretend. 1st: ~90% went to the banks. [...] ESM does not exist [...] banking union plan not progressing at all. //&! Yanis Varoufakis @Oxford Union - youtu.be/zWB6lY2GBjQ - ACADEMIA LACKS ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT ATTITUDE! Because going against the grain has become anti-reputation. [...] it's all about expectations, predictions about where S&P500 will be in 12 months. [...] regression between theory and reality. economists have never been humble. [ see Wall Street cottage factory of analysis and prediction shops ] [...] if you torture the data and model enough it will confess. [< EU monetary union based on theory ] [...] [34:00] Brussels is technically incompetent and will not reform itself. I am a libertarian marxist. Schumpeter. true creative destruction. great wealth currently created - all going to 1%. = not humanitarian. not democratic. [...] 41:00 Q&A, <48:50> gov budget not same as household budget; George Osborne.
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april 2016 by asterisk2a
The "Tourist" Investors Flooding Silicon Valley With Money Will Go Home One Day - BuzzFeed News
The tourist analogy comes from Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at the German financial company Allianz and former CEO of mutual fund giant Pimco. He fleshes out his theory of “tourist dollars” in his new book, The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse, describing what happens in emerging economies like Brazil and India when investors from the developed world respond to slow economies at home by seeking more profitable climates abroad. Ranjan Roy, a former emerging-market currencies trader who now runs a tech startup, wrote a Medium post this week connecting El-Erian’s “tourist” theory to the mutual fund investors that have flooded Silicon Valley with cash in recent years. The post was pretty convincing, so we decided to see if El-Erian agreed. He does. And he worries about what those tourist dollars are doing to the locals. [...] they don’t re-up [ like VC's and real Angels would do ] [...] push to stretch for return.
hunt  for  yield  distortion  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Silicon  Valley  Party  Round  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hot-money  Mutual  Fund  growth  risk  capital  Venture  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  2015  2016  2014  Unicorn  reflate  reflation  economic  history  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  India  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  psychology  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Simon Hix on the election of Jeremy Corbyn as the new leader of the Labour Party - YouTube
Movement (Bobble Head of our time that captured imagination of disenfranchised part of society which became disengaged with Politics because they had no voice and no impact and no shared views) - vs - [Labour] Party (something babyboomers and pensioners could voted for (if) it is properly framed, spun, communicated over and over again that they've sold out their kids and grand children for their own gain and capture of wealth and have to change course. because their kids and grand children are on a backfoot very much, already. and can not take guaranteed the opportunities and social and capital luxuries babyboomers, post-war gen (pensioners) have enjoyed and continue to enjoy. that they have to give up some of their pie).
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
The Draghi Put - YouTube
Draghi Put &! bit.ly/1fQ2lcq // &! bloom.bg/1Euf6peh // &! Mark Blyth Mackenzie Lecture 2015 – Austerity and the Politics of Money - youtu.be/B6vV8_uQmxs --- u cant make them lend (banks) 2 businesses (productive investment, closing productivity & output gap) particularly in a deflationary world with secular stagnation tendencies/signs, with non-existent inflation expectations! liquidity trap! dont get into higher growth path/gear! and infrastructure bonds (= Eurobond) on EU level wont help very much. !New Normal is lower yield avg across assets (public) & economic growth average p/a of abt 1.2-1.4% Add demographic bubble/ageing population = less consumerism, less disposable income/discretionary spending on aggregate, Piketty (book) removed technology as growth multiplier in some chapters & then you really come to <2% p/a long-run growth predictions for EU/western world. <2% growth p/a at >90% debt2gdp u have a problem! == Rechtsruck &or Anti-Austerity. Political tail-risk!
Draghi  Put  ECB  ELA  TLTRO  LTRO  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  distortion  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  deflationary  deflation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  MarioDraghi  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  trust  devaluation  currency  debasement  currency-war  fiat  currency  trustagent  distrust  Richard  Koo  fiscal  stimulus  austerity  fiscal  policy  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Mark  Blyth  inequality  New  Normal  economic  history  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  output  gap  productivity  UK  Europe  Germany  PIIGSFB  zombie  banks  Thomas  Piketty  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  growth  Rechtsruck  SNP  European  Election  2014  UKIP  AfD  NPD  Conservative  Party  Tories  Establishment  Privileged  babyboomers  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  PR  spin  doctor  propaganda  populism  Labour  Party  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  poverty  Gini  poverty  policy  coef 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Europe's economic challenge not just about Greece - BBC News
IMF, Christine Lagarde, said: "I remain firmly of the view that Greece's debt has become unsustainable." [...] Greek debt will reach 201% of GDP some time next year. [...] It is unlikely a portion of the debt will be written off but there may well be an agreement to extend current loans and to lower the rates of interest. [...] [ the overall health of Europe as a whole and its individual parts in question] [...] the eurozone economy splutters. There is a recovery - the eurozone is growing at an annual rate of 1.3% - but it is patchy. In the [Q2'15] France and Italy, which account for 40% of the eurozone economy, flat-lined. Italy which had only recently emerged from recession fell back, managing growth of just 0.2%. [...] [ ECB: on balance, outlook remains on the downside ] The eurozone economy is still smaller than it was in 2008. [...] The fundamental challenges to the European economy remain - how to innovate [...] modernise [...] [ EU project living up to its potential ]
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Griechenland-Krise: Wir verspielen Europa - Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Griechen können sich per Referendum aus dem Euro wählen, die Briten über einen EU-Austritt abstimmen: Europa droht auseinanderzubrechen - weil wir alle uns zu wenig dafür einsetzen. [...] Griechenland drohen der Staatsbankrott und ein chaotisches Ausscheiden aus der Eurozone. Die Briten sollen in einigen Monaten über den Verbleib in der EU abstimmen. Eine gemeinsame europäische Strategie für den Flüchtlingsansturm über das Mittelmeer ist nicht in Sicht. Die Geheimdienst-Ausspähungen haben die USA und Europa einander entfremdet, während Russland an einer undurchsichtigen Expansionsstrategie arbeitet. [ Symptoms of our time. ] // bit.ly/1HvMxbP - Pressekompass: Wer ist schuld an der Griechen-Krise? Die Antworten der internationalen Medien
Brexit  Grexit  European  Union  Angela  Merkel  David  Cameron  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Leadership  Career  Politicians  political  science  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  political  economy  monetary  austerity  UKIP  Rechtsruck  Rechtsextremismus  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  sovereign  debt  crisis  solidarity  Zivilgesellschaft  Zivilcourage  Gesellschaft  Sozialer  Abstieg  Existenzangst  squeezed  middle  class  economic  history  zombie  banks  fairness  bailout  GFC  recovery  PIGS  vision  mission  compromise  interest  groups  vested  interest  Germany  UK  France  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  ECB  manufactured  consent  propaganda  Lügenpresse  AfD  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  European  Election  2014  democracy  No  Representation  ideology  adoptarefugee.org  political  refugee  economic  refugee  refugee  war  refugee  Asylum  Asylbewerber  East  policy  folly  policy  error  history  European  USA  surveillance  state  Orwellian  Five  Eyes  corporate  espionage  industrial  espionage  espionage  cyber  espionage  Russia  Ukraine  Ukrain  Syrien  Syria  ISIS  Iraq  uncertainty  instability  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  deflationary  secular  stagnation  Crimea  NATO  East  Europe  Deutschland  Scottish  independence  referendum  Greec 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
John Ralston Saul: Moving Beyond Globalism - YouTube
Deregulators & the people behind intellectual cleansing (ie Larry Summers vs Elizabeth Warren back in deregulation time of Clinton&Bush No. 2), have to be held responsible; economic thought; model, thinking, trickle-down, globalisation, no oversight & consumer protection // capitalism & globalisation are not self limiting // GFC is a symptom, Oil crisis in 70/80s, dot.com, world com, enron // globalisation (trade) doesnt solve growth problem // London banking is soufflé with no hard items (no real wealth creation within economy (income growth)) // shift money to who will spend it (re:bailout) // banks & rootless tax evaders global corps have no shared economic interest // "the globalist model" will work everywhere else, according to the IMF/World Bank, democracy will work in the Middle East. said the same people from the same school of thought // globalisation created oligopolies, not more competition! // climate change=investment w ROI // AfD=symptom // added value, no comp on price
GFC  recovery  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  corporate  culture  corporate  governance  corporatism  trickle-down  economics  globalisation  globalization  economic  model  economic-thought  economic  history  economic  cycle  economic  growth  income  growth  Super  Rich  1%  Gini  coefficient  western  world  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  bailout  gesellschaft  social  tension  social  cohesion  Bank  IMF  austerity  neoliberal  neoliberalism  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  duopoly  oligarchy  oligopoly  oligopol  policy  folly  policy  error  Makers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  populism  propaganda  AfD  UKIP  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  European  Election  2014  society  Debt  Super  bubble  bond  bubble  jubilee  restructuring  haircut  sovereign  crisis  monetisation  monetization  consumer  household  debtoverhang  private  public  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  intellectual  honesty  climate  change  pollution  value  creation  added  value  middle  class  income  distribution  disposable  income  income  mobility  social  mobility  education  policy  vocational  education  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  differentiate  differentiation 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Spain enters a new political era - BBC News
Anti-austerity parties, linked to the Podemos movement on the far left, which is barely one year old, have the prestige of holding power in Barcelona, and could form a coalition to rule in the Spanish capital. Across the country the ruling Popular Party (PP) of Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy has been punished. The PP will hold onto the fact that they still have the highest share of the vote of any single party. But they have lost absolute majorities in regional parliaments across the country, including in traditional heartlands like Valencia, where the party has been badly damaged by corruption. [...] What is also eye-catching is that significant support nationwide has shifted from the PP to parties on the left, even though the PP has taken Spain's economy from the height of the financial crisis in 2012 through to a period of impressive growth. [...] That could be because the social impact of the recovery is still not being felt by enough of the people bit.ly/1J0fkU3 & !> bit.ly/1Ht0Nfi
Spain  Podemos  Career  Politicians  corruption  No  Representation  austerity  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  PIGS  Syriza  sovereign  debt  crisis  unemployment  lost  decade  lost  generation  bribery  political  economy  GFC  bailout  recovery  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  growth  income  inequality  Europe  European  Election  2014  Protest  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  competitiveness 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Osborne warning to 'sleepwalking' Europe - BBC News
annual CBI dinner // 'its about competing with the global economy' which means you have to deregulate, skip consume protection, allow zombie banks to run themselves hot to the tune of billions for a bailout, [also EU watch do has an eye on unfair subsidies] ... a competition for price. there is no winner. its a zero sum game. but not for wall street. Wall Street shareholders are the winners. And everyone else is a looser. No shared economic interest. Brexit is easy way out, the quickest and with short-term view only. The future is about being remarkable. The Purple Cow (Seth Godin). Differentiation in a flat world of borderless competition. UK ended up here because of UKIP. Why UKIP? UKIP is a Protest Party (opportunistic in itself and for those disenfranchised voters). See European Election 2014 results. A symptom of short-term view policy folly by Career Politicians who do not represent the common good nor make policy decisions base on shared economic interest.
George  Osborne  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Europe  deregulation  regulation  regulators  self-regulation  Conservative  Party  Brexit  David  Cameron  crony  capitalism  exploitation  No  Representation  Wall  Street  sustainable  sustainability  democracy  Consumer  Protection  bailout  zombie  banks  subsidies  subsidizing  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  globalisation  globalization  competitiveness  competitive  competition  differentiate  differentiation  borderless  flat  world  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  Career  Politicians  UKIP  political  economy  European  Election  2014  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  policy  error  policy  folly  economic  history  neoliberal  neoliberalism  legitimacy  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  SNP  austerity  fiscal  policy 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Finanzsystem: "Dieser Crash wird in die Geschichte eingehen" - YouTube
>> nichts substanzielles geaendert nach 2008. // min 10 Muendiger Anleger, ZIRP and NIRP >> Papierwerte nichts mehr wert. &! Bildung! Investment in Bildung. &! Staatliche Rente, Private Rente, Betriebliche Rente. Rister und Ruerup Rente nichts wert. &! Germany - Altersarmut und Niedriglohnsektor &! Altersversorge ist eine wette auf die Zeit ... was hat in 30-40 jahre noch wert? Stabil und ueberschaubare risiken nur in Sachwerten (nicht Papier). &! Exportweltmeister - zeit ist limited. Deutschlands 'aufschwung' wird auch in ein paar jahren wieder vorbei sein. &! Endspiel. 2008 war das einlaeuten ... Systemkriese! &! Werte - Geld macht nicht Gluecklich. 15% Rendite auch nicht. - Menschlichkeit - Wir - muss wieder zurueckkehren. In das Grab kannst du nichts hinterlassen. Geld arbeitet nicht, Menschen arbeiten! Wandel kommt nicht von oben, von der elite, ... kommt von der Mitte der Gesellschaft. &! ungedeckte Geldsysteme. &! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DmCoCHZkiFs
GFC  book  lost  decade  lost  generation  Debt  Super  Cycle  jubilee  economic  history  fiat  currency  trust  confidence  Bailout  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  ZIRP  NIRP  continual  education  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  hunt  for  yield  Altersarmut  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  sovereign  crisis  fiscal  sovereignty  social  safety  net  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Universal  Basic  Income  squeezed  middle  class  middle  class  sustainability  sustainable  equity  bubble  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  monetary  union  monetary  system  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  European  European  European  Election  2014  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  status  quo  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  stakeholder  interest  groups 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
Capitalism in Crisis Amid Slow Growth and Growing Inequality - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Six years after the Lehman disaster, the industrialized world is suffering from Japan Syndrome. Growth is minimal, another crash may be brewing and the gulf between rich and poor continues to widen. Can the global economy reinvent itself? [...] The buzzword is "inclusion" and it refers to a trait that Western industrialized nations seem to be on the verge of losing: the ability to allow as many layers of society as possible to benefit from economic advancement and participate in political life. & http://youtu.be/hPPBYNKmuWc?t=3m52s IMF talking about over 70% of EU banks are Zombie Banks.
Japan  economic  history  GFC  recovery  greatrecession  2014  secular  stagnation  faultlines  Abenomics  Richard  Koo  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Impediments  structural  deficit  liquidity  trap  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  Gini  coefficient  social  cohesion  income  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  disposable  income  academia  academics  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  debtoverhang  Debt  Super  Cycle  sovereign  crisis  deleveraging  NPL  zombie  banks  business  investment  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  balance  sheet  recession  creditcrunch  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  excess  Bailout  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  unintended  consequences  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  OMT  TARP  LTRO  TLTRO  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  IMF  BIS  Europe  UK  USA 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
Alan Greenspan on what's wrong with the world economy - Newsnight - YouTube
secular  stagnation  alangreenspan  Alan  Greenspan  recovery  GFC  2014  ZIRP  liquidity  trap  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  faultlines  NIRP  QE  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  austerity  economic  history  Debt  Super  Cycle  sovereign  crisis  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  Europe  PIGS  monetary  transmission  mechanism  business  confidence  confidence  trust  trustagent  Germany  policy  folly  policy  error  IMF  Makers  Pact  fiscal  stimulus  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  equity  bubble  Thomas  Piketty  book  Jens  Weidmann 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
Empire - The Promise and Peril of Democracy - Web Extra - Empire asks why democracy is in retreat - YouTube
symptoms now more evident than ever!
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october 2014 by asterisk2a
Not that negative after all - YouTube
- nbdy is taking up the money to invest in his business (increase capacity, R&D, etc etc), becs there is no demand ... what is holding up the western world is the service economy - especially in UK and USA! - and then there is one particular structural impediment in Germany et al, demographic bubble.
monetary  stimulus  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  ECB  negative  real  interest  rate  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  TLTRO  OMT  ABS  LTRO  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  trust  trustagent  confidence  creditcrunch  economic  history  Europe  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  deficit  imbalance  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  PIGS  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  Exportweltmeister  Germany  BuBa  austerity  IMF  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Debt  Super  Cycle  sovereign  crisis  zombie  banks  distortion  business  business  confidence  BRIC  MINT  USA  UK  MarioDraghi  Demand  Shock  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  industrial  policy  manufacturing  Services  Industry  service  economy  service  recovery  GFC  2014  consumer  confidence  output  gap  productivity 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Jürgen Trittin: Plädoyer für linke Reformen - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Heute ist es für viele Menschen, gerade wirtschaftlich Schwächere, schwer geworden, dem Begriff "Reform" etwas Gutes abzugewinnen. Viel zu oft war Reform ein Synonym für sozialen Rückschritt & Ausschluss aus der Gesellschaft. Reform heute ist neoliberal aufgeladen, es steht für Deregulierung, für weniger Sicherheit, mehr Armutsrisiko & weniger Demokratie. Diese reale Erfahrung hat die Angst vor Veränderung erhöht. So haben Konservative leichtes Spiel. Das Bittere ist: Für diese Diskreditierung von Veränderung, für die Umdeutung von Reform sind auch Regierungen der linken Mitte mitverantwortlich. Links reden, rechts wählen - das ist keine deutsche Marotte. Als Folge der Finanzkrise wurden in Europa erst einmal reihenweise konservative & wirtschaftsliberale Regierungen gewählt. Gerade dort, wo die Krise wirklich zugeschlagen hat, zeigte sich wieder einmal: Krisen sind keine guten Zeiten für eine Politik der linken Mitte. [GroKo: Das allermeiste bleibt, wie es ist.] youtu.be/yAmiQJYqjxM
Germany  neoliberal  neoliberalism  economic  history  AfD  liberal  economic  reform  Zeitarbeit  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  hartz-iv  Minijob  1  Euro  Job  Agenda  2010  underemployed  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  structural  unemployment  child  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  Kinderbetreuung  crony  capitalism  Bailout  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  GFC  deregulation  security  fairness  book  Gerechtigkeit  pollution  resource  depletion  climate  change  insecurity  unsertainty  immigration  imigrants  Zivilgesellschaft  Politics  GroKo  Angela  Merkel  2014  capitalism  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  compromise  European  Election  2014  UKIP  FPÖ  Austria  Switzerland  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  Elite  Super  Rich  Privileged  society  Europe  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  Competition  competitive  comparative  advantage  BRIC  MINT 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Monitor - Nationalistische Kleingeister So viel 19. Jahrhundert...
Klar: Wohlstandsversprechen allein werden es nicht richten. Erst wenn die Benachteiligten spüren, dass sie aufschließen können und wenn wir Profiteure wirklich bereit sind zu teilen, wird der europäische Gedanke die nationalistischen Kleingeister wieder in ihre Flaschen zurück drängen. Ein frommer Wunsch? Mag sein. Aber was wäre die Alternative? + !!! + Jon Snow from Channel4 in Response to apparent NO Vote Campaign Win - "The scale of YES and NO participation in Scotland's referendum sends a powerful message to westminster: Address the UK's democratic deficit." ( https://twitter.com/jonsnowC4/status/512821896484630529 )
European  Election  2014  UKIP  AfD  NPD  No  Representation  social  mobility  Bailout  income  mobility  Public  Policy  fairness  accountability  oversight  transparency  Policy  Makers  Career  Politicians  Toff  Establishment  Elite  Europe  Germany  UK  Democratic  Process  democracy  France  communication  language  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  fiscal  monetary  economic  history  extremism  radicalism  Politics  crony  capitalism  exploitation  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  competitive  poverty  babyboomers  poverty  in  old  age  child  poverty  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  Scottish  independence  referendum  Scottish  Scotland  disillusionment  authentic  authenticity  participation  rate  participation 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - UK jobless rate falls to lowest level since 2008
avg weekly earnings still lagged way behind inflation. Excluding bonuses, avg earnings in the May to July period rose by 0.7% from a year earlier; including bonuses, they rose by 0.6%. The current rate of inflation is 1.5%. Last month, the Bank of England halved its forecast for average wage growth in 2014 to 1.25%, leading some commentators to believe it is under little pressure to raise interest rates any time soon. [...] Labour's shadow employment minister Stephen Timms said: "Today's fall in overall unemployment is welcome, but the new figures have shown working people are seeing their pay falling far behind the cost of living. "Pay excluding bonuses today is the lowest on record. Under this government wages after inflation have already fallen by over £1,600 a year since 2010 and by next year working people will have seen the biggest fall in wages of any Parliament since 1874." +due 2lack of job security, people arnt asking 4 meaningful raise. service econ jobs dominate recovery!
UK  recovery  slack  labour  market  wage  growth  living  wage  wage  stagnation  inflation  disposable  income  living  standard  cost  of  living  standard  of  living  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  minimum  wage  2014  economic  history  output  gap  productivity  Lohnzurückhaltung  fear  GFC  job  security  precarious  work  Precariat  Services  Industry  service  economy  service  Public  Policy  industrial  manufacturing 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Farewell to the mother of all depressions
[ THE RECOVERY, THE GLASS IS HALF FULL. PERIOD. ]But nonetheless many will be slightly depressed that although the service economy is now just under 3% bigger than it was at the peak, manufacturing is still more than 7% smaller, and the production industries as a whole have been diminished by 11%. As I have bored on about for a while, although it is heart-warming to see UK manufacturing growing right now, there has been no rebalancing of the economy back towards the makers. Also, within services, the contribution of shoppers to the recovery remains immense - and the retail trade made the biggest contribution to the latest quarter's services surge. That suggests we may be at a premature end to households' attempts to strengthen their finances and pay down debts - and shows that growth in the economy remains perilously sensitive to the cost of money.
UK  recovery  greatrecession  2014  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  faultlines  zombie  consumer  debtoverhang  Taper  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  QE  negative  real  interest  rate  BOE  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  greatdepression  lost  decade  lost  generation  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  underemployed  IMF  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  London  economies  of  agglomeration  Aberdeen  industrial  policy  comparative  advantage  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  tax  code  taxation  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  tax  credit  tax  free  income  GFC  creditcrisis  creditcrunsh  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  manufacturing  Consumerism  consumerist  consumer  debt  reflation  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  household  debt  economic  history 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Wirtschaftskrise: Deutsche Wirtschaft mit starkem Export ist anfällig - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Typischerweise produzieren dominante ökonomische Narrative zuerst Illusionen und dann große Probleme. Wo eine Geschichte von Marktteilnehmern, Regulierern und Beobachtern vorbehaltlos akzeptiert wird, ist der Boden bereitet für Irrtümer, die uns am Ende Kopf und Kragen kosten können, wie ich meinem neuen Buch argumentiere. >> Die Politik des billigen Geldes verzerrt die Wirtschaftsstrukturen .... - die deutsche Wirtschaft unterfinanziert & Dass die Politik des ultrabilligen Geldes die Wirtschaftsstrukturen verzerrt, auch hierzulande. [CreditCrunch/transmission mechanism broken/hunt for yield/betongold/no-investments] +++ die Digitalisierung auch die produktionslastige deutsche Wirtschaft fundamental durcheinanderwirbeln wird. [Year of Code/Education Policy/Human Capital - high ed imigrants/Mobile Creatives/Share Economy] +++ Spiegel 37/2014 "Deutschland der Scheinriese" Cover Story
GFC  bubble  property  bubble  bubbles  economic  history  economics  society  storytelling  narrative  journalism  journalismus  PIGS  UK  USA  Germany  Exportweltmeister  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  exports  export  Europe  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  faultlines  competitiveness  competitive  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  2014  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  long-term  thinking  long-term  view  Policy  Makers  error  folly  trust  trustagent  confidence  accountability  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  monetary  fiscal  LTRO  OMT  ABS  unconventional  monetary  monetary  transmission  mechanism  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  distortion  Wall  Street  centralbanks  IMF  IBS  liquidity  trap  creditcrunch  unintended  consequences  complexity  unknown  unkown  unknown  unknowns  blackswan  Black  Swan  Betongold  Beton  Gold  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Year  of  Code  education  Public  Policy  hunt  for  yield  human  capital  immigration  demographics  demographic  bubble  demography 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Stephanie Hare on the UK economy - Newsnight - YouTube
>> how many jobs have been lost regarding to banking in london and adjoining businesses ... thousands. thousands of hours of productivity gone (high charges for the hours). forever. = productivity and output gap || and how many times had osborne now moved forward expected savings and targets in time ... every year. || it will not get better as they travel (still) on the same path that leads to nowhere safe. still heading to the cliff. same direction. same speed.
secular  stagnation  flat  world  UK  living  standard  cost  of  living  wage  stagnation  minimum  wage  living  wage  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  exploitation  wages  productivity  output  gap  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  service  economy  service  industry  Services  economics  economic  history  academia  academics  BOE  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Public  knowledge  worker  workless  underemployed  employment  Politics  recovery  London  Structural  Impediments  deficit  imbalance  faultlines  Europe  GFC  greatrecession  2014  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unknown  unknowns  unintended  consequences  complexity  incomplete  information  low-income  working  class  workforce  education  policy  White-collar  Future  of  Work  flexible  Zero  Hour  Contract  Blue-collar  behavioral  economics  corporatism  capitalism  globalisation  globalization  Debt  Super  Cycle  deleveraging  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  sovereign  crisis  austerity  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  consumer  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  hunt  for  yield  property  bubble  housing  market  bubble  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  Toff  lost  decade  lost  generation  stagnation 
august 2014 by asterisk2a
Konjunktur in EU: Analyse des ersten Halbjahrs 2014 - SPIEGEL ONLINE
In anderen Euroländern dagegen ist die Lage bedenklich. Vor allem Frankreich und Italien, die nach Deutschland größten Volkswirtschaften des Währungsraums, haben große strukturelle Probleme. Und in Krisenstaaten wie Griechenland, Spanien und Portugal geht es dank schmerzhafter Spar- und Reformprogramme zwar inzwischen wieder leicht bergauf mit der Wirtschaft. Doch die Gefahr eines Rückfalls in die Krise ist noch immer groß. || http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/eurostat-inflation-in-euro-laendern-sinkt-auf-rekordtief-a-986068.html - Neue Zahlen von der europäischen Statistikbehörde Eurostat: Die Inflation in den 18 Ländern im Euroraum ist so niedrig wie seit fast fünf Jahren nicht mehr. Das Wirtschaftswachstum kommt zum Stillstand. || + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/bip-deutsche-wirtschaft-schrumpft-um-0-2-prozent-a-986028.html + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/diw-chef-fratzscher-hoehere-loehne-und-konjunktur-a-986124.html "Investitionen!"
France  Germany  PIGS  Eurpope  sovereign  debt  crisis  2014  stagflation  secular  stagnation  stagnation  ECB  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  creditcrunch  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  economic  history  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  deficit  budget  deficit  liberal  economic  reform  NPL  zombie  banks  Career  Politicians  policy  folly  policy  error  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  austerity  faultlines  divergence  Super  Cycle  lost  generation  lost  decade  debt  bubble  bond  bubble  hunt  for  yield  infrastructure  investment  investment  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  haircut  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  public  debt  productivity  output  gap  corporatism  crony  capitalism  coward  risk  sentiment  risk  taking  creditrating  creditrisk  working  poor  Gini  coefficient  income  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality 
august 2014 by asterisk2a
The Rise Of Europe's Religious Right
For the most part, though, issues dear to social conservatives were a side issue in elections driven heavily by economic frustration. [...] The suddenness with which social conservatives became a force in Brussels has many progressives speculating that they are the creations of American social conservatives seeking to “export the culture wars.” [...] Today, American ties seem much more about a shared vision to build a global conservative movement rather than leaning on stronger and wealthier U.S. partners for support. // http://www.salon.com/2014/02/28/the_dying_right_why_christian_fundamentalists_are_in_panic_mode_partner/ || Pro Progressive - the hard things are hard bc they are worth doing it. It's easy to turn ones back. But its hard to hold your face into the storm that is brewing. Holding onto status quo is not worth the struggle, it is a futile short-term view - as the status quo is not sustainable.
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july 2014 by asterisk2a
DIW-Chef Fratzscher zu Banken-Stresstest, Lohnerhöhung - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Abhängigkeit zwischen Banken und Staaten hat in den letzten Jahren besorgniserregend zugenommen. Die berechtigte Sorge ist daher, dass Bankenrettungen die Staatshaushalte der hochverschuldeten Eurostaaten überfordert. Dann könnten wir leicht wieder in eine Krisensituation wie im Sommer 2012 geraten, als die Anleihezinsen für viele Eurostaaten drastisch nach oben geschossen sind. [...] Die größte Herausforderung für Europa ist, Wachstum zu schaffen. Nur durch ein deutlich stärkeres Wachstum kann es gelingen, dass die Unternehmen Beschäftigte einstellen, die Banken faule Kredite abbauen und die Staaten ihre Finanzen in Ordnung bringen. [...] [ +see end - Income Growth across the board in Germany Needed. Recent 2017 wage floor/minimum wage was overdue. Overdue. ]
GDP  Europe  zombie  banks  PIGS  NPL  non-performing  loan  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  debt  jubilee  lost  decade  lost  generation  Super  Cycle  ECB  liquidity  trap  history  GFC  greatrecession  greatdepression  2014  infrastructure  investment  underemployed  structural  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  unemployment  Germany  France  faultlines  Impediments  structural  imbalance  structural  deficit  budget  deficit  fiscal  deficit  tradedeficit  trade  deficit  academia  academics  policy  error  policy  folly  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  OMT  QE  monetary  transmission  mechanism  deleveraging  Politics  Career  Politicians  ownership  accountability  transparency  Bundesbank  BuBa  income  growth  minimum  wage  wage  floor  coldprogression  kalte  Progression 
july 2014 by asterisk2a
Henrik Müller über Wirtschaftswachstum 2014: Die Pessimisten sind los - SPIEGEL ONLINE
GDP  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  2014  economic  history  digital  economy  happiness  index  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  Age  digital  artist  digital  content  content  creator  New  academia  academics  Wikipedia  freemium  balance  sheet  recession  liquidity  trap  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  deflation  deflationary  lost  generation  lost  decade  Year  of  Code  White-collar  Blue-collar  hybrid  work  workless  6-hour  work  day  workforce  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  productivity  output  gap  Silicon  Valley  education  policy  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  disposable  income  leisure  time  Robert  Skidelsky  volunteering  volunteer  maximisation  of  happiness  Jack  of  All  Trades  Future  Future  of  book  Tim  Ferriss  work  life  balance  worklife  underemployed  self-employment  freelance  freelancing  complexity  unknown  unknowns  GFC  greatdepression  greatrecession  Europe  UK  USA  PIGS  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  Richard  Koo  Super  Cycle  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  debt  bubble  debt  jubilee  Japan  BOE  Fed  ECB  Open  Source  Linux  GitHub  BOJ  sharing  economy  less  more  zeitgeist  generational  change  Millennials  generationy  Consumerism  digital  digital  consume 
july 2014 by asterisk2a
Is This What A Bursting Bubble Looks Like? - YouTube
- bear market, not a 2008/09 decline, more like a lost decade of little productivity growth and very very slow closing of the still existing output gap. - companies benefit form technological progress (accelerating); get more done with less people. +++ https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/posts/10154276062445062
asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  NIRP  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  policy  Fed  ECB  BOE  BOJ  GFC  recovery  greatdepression  greatrecession  2014  lost  decade  productivity  output  gap  G20  G  Zero  G8  Europe  USA  UK  complexity  unknown  unknowns  Taper  deflation  deflationary  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  middle  class  skill-biased  technological  change  technological  progress  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  economic  history  history  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  deficit  imbalance  global  imbalances  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  debt  jubilee  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  default  demographic  bubble  speculative  bubbles  signal  vs  noise  noise  dysfunctional  marketplace  efficiencies  market  dynamics  market  intervention  financial  market  market  failure  market-failure  lost  generation  lostdecade  lostgeneration  currency  debasement  fiat  currency  fiat  money 
july 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - 'No wage rises' until jobless rate falls to 5% says MPC member
Martin Weale said there may be more spare capacity in the economy than policymakers had previously estimated. +++ Bank of England 'puzzled' by productivity gap - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27857472 >> London Finance Centre Canary Wharf drove up productivity in the run up to the 2008 GFC :: UK workforce as a whole, lacking skills for the future, thus the productivity gap; Mobile Creative, Mobile Creatives, skill-biased technological change, knowledge worker, White-collar Worker, Blue-collar Worker. Year of Code is too late and a drop/tea-cup in the ocean. College needs to offer Computer Science Degrees (Technichal College), not just University. College's offers courses as "Beauty Technicians." Services Industry that does NOT scale. A locals hairdressers service can not be exported, sold and consumed in other countries. Period.
spare  capacity  output  gap  UK  productivity  recovery  2014  BOE  economic  history  unknown  unknowns  complexity  unemployment  structural  unemployment  economy  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  austerity  Impediments  faultlines  structural  imbalance  productivity  gap  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  skill-biased  technological  change  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  workforce  Year  of  Code  21stcentury  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  education  Higher  formal  education  business  education  education  bubble  un-college  College  scaling  scale  microeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  macroprudential  policy  microprudential  regulation  Public  interest  retraining  STEM  education  policy  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  long-term  thinking  accountability  Politics  transparency  democracy  Democratic  Process  free  press  free  speech  pluralistic  society  plurality  pluralism  freedom  of  press  debate  discourse 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - UK unemployment total falls to 2.16m, wage inflation to remain low
[threat of wage inflation spiral far off because of multiple underlying factors not allowing it measured wholly across the uk (taking the other country called london out of the picture)] - "Weak pay growth and the 'cost of living crisis' remains the Achilles heel of the economic recovery," said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit. "But it should not be long until we see earnings growth accelerate as the labour market continues to tighten. Pay growth should pick up in coming months, perhaps significantly." +++ http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/10838393/Bank-of-Englands-slack-approach-leaves-economy-at-risk.html +++ http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2014/03/monetary-policy-0 +++ http://youtu.be/fvTdWWUkUNM?t=2m10s
output  gap  slack  in  economy  UK  recovery  greatrecession  greatdepression  2014  2015  inflation  deflation  productivity  deflationary  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  wage  growth  earnings  growth  austerity  BOE  Mark  Carney  ZIRP  spare  capacity  academia  economic  history  New  Normal  financial  repression  underemployed  underemployment  workforce  labour  market  structural  unemployment  inflation  expectation  wage  inflation  London  wage  inflation  spiral  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wages  living  wage  minimum  wage  industrial  policy  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  skill-biased  technological  change  capital  skills  skill  skills  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  World  Flat  globalization  globalisation  competitive  advantage  competitive  competitiveness  Competition  comparative-advantage  comparative  advantage  21stcentury  Year  of  Code 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Kreditklemme trotz EZB-Programmen: Die Banken sind unschuldig - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Milan und Sufi sind nicht die ersten, die auf diese Idee kamen. Richard Koo aus Japan entwickelte schon in den neunziger Jahre die These von einer Bilanz-Rezession. Wenn Länder, Firmen und Haushalte überschuldet sind, dann wollen sie sich einfach nur noch entschulden, egal wie günstig die Kredite sind. Koo warnte davor, dass alle gleichzeitig die Schulden abbauen. In Japan hörte man auf ihn. Dort entschuldeten sich die Firmen und die Haushalte, und es verschuldete sich der Staat. In Europa bauen alle ihre Schulden gleichzeitig ab: Staat, Unternehmen, Haushalte. Koo glaubt daher auch, dass wir in eine weit schlimmere Lage geraten werden als Japan. Wir sind auf Deflation programmiert. Koos Thesen sind plausibel. Sie sind aber keine fundierte ökonomische Analyse. Genau das haben jetzt Milan und Sufi geliefert - zumindest für die USA. Wenn sich diese Ergebnisse auch bei uns bestätigen sollten, dann hieße das: Wir machen in Europa so ziemlich alles falsch.
Richardkoo  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  Japan  deflation  deflationary  USA  UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  economic  history  GFC  sovereign  crisis  consumer  liquidity  trap  ZIRP  QE  monetization  monetisation  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  creditcrunch  creditcrisis  monetary  transmission  mechanism  service  deleveraging  2014  recovery  greatrecession  greatdepression  Europe  PIGS  Neuverschuldung  Germany  austerity  IMF  book  lost  generation  lost  decade  ECB  BOE  BOJ  Fed 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Zinsentscheid der EZB: Draghi plant Minus vor Zinssatz - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Schon immer ließ sich das Ende eines Systems besonders schwer erkennen, wenn man Teil des Systems ist. Im Jahre sieben nach Ausbruch der Finanzkrise ist es langsam Zeit für die Frage: Was, wenn die vermeintliche Ausnahme in Wahrheit die Regel ist? Wenn es sich bei der Kombination aus niedrigen Zinsen, niedrigem Wachstum und niedriger Inflation, die weite Teile Europa seit 2008 ebenso im Griff hält wie die USA und Japan, um die neue Normalität handelt? Wenn das seit Jahrzehnten praktizierte westliche Wirtschaftsmodell, sich immer niedrigere Wachstumsraten mit immer höheren Staatsschulden zu erkaufen, an seinem Schlusspunkt angelangt ist? +++ http://bit.ly/SxhnZq "Nicht Europa ist am Ende - sondern der Kapitalismus, so wie wir ihn kennen. [...] Im angelsächsischen Finanzkapitalismus wachsen die Vermögen der Reichen und stagnieren die Einkommen der anderen." [...] [EU Election Result is a vote] gegen das ungerechte Wirtschaftssystem, das ihre Lebensgrundlage gefährdet.
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june 2014 by asterisk2a
EZB senkt Leitzins und beschließt Minuszinsen für Banken - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) hat ihren Leitzins auf ein Rekordtief gesenkt und erstmals einen negativen Einlagensatz beschlossen. Angesichts der zuletzt sehr niedrigen Inflationsrate wird der Zins, zu dem sich die Geschäftsbanken bei der Notenbank Geld leihen können, um 0,10 Punkte auf 0,15 Prozent gesenkt, wie die EZB am Donnerstag nach ihrer Ratssitzung in Frankfurt mitteilte. Der Einlagensatz, zu dem Banken kurzfristig Geld bei der Notenbank parken können, wird erstmals in den negativen Bereich gedrückt. Er sinkt von bisher null Prozent auf minus 0,10 Prozent. Der Zins für kurzfristige Ausleihungen bei der Notenbank vermindert sich von 0,75 auf 0,40 Prozent. + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/ezb-entscheidung-kredite-und-senkung-des-leitzins-a-973657.html ""Die Banken leiden nicht unter vermeintlich zu hohen Notenbankzinsen, sondern unter dem hohen Bestand fauler Kredite, an dem Negativzinsen nichts ändern." + !! http://youtu.be/kKO_yxP3dyQ !!
deflation  deflationary  monetary  transmission  mechanism  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Bundesbank  2014  ZIRP  OMT  QE  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  deposit  levy  New  Normal  financial  repression  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Structural  Impediments  deficit  unemployment  imbalance  Europe  Germany  faultlines  recovery  policy  error  policy  folly  Makers  Career  Politicians  austerity  fiscal  policy  GFC  lost  decade  lost  generation  long-term  unemployment  banking  union  creditcrisis  creditcrunch  credit  crunch  2015  NPL  non-performing  loan  economic  history  LTRO  assetbackedsecurities  Sterilization 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Mini-Wohnung in London mit hoher Miete alarmiert Behörden - SPIEGEL ONLINE
London is a different country than UK ex-London. PERIOD. As is SF, LA, NY compared to USA as a whole. UK needs support for 2nd London, ie Manchester surroundings. That is why BBC moved parts of its operations to Manchester, creating the MediaCity. It was a politically motivated and macroprudential influenced decision as well as microeconomic decision for BBC Operations (lower wage demands, lower operating cost). ""Für durchschnittliche Mieter dürfte es nur ein schwacher Trost sein, dass in London auch die Superreichen inzwischen Mondpreise für Immobilien zahlen müssen. So hat ein privater Käufer für eine Penthouse-Wohnung im vornehmen Londoner Stadtteil Knightsbridge kürzlich 140 Millionen Pfund (knapp 171 Millionen Euro) bezahlt. Angesichts solcher Zahlen warnte sogar der stellvertretende Direktor der Bank of England vor einer gefährlichen Blase: Das Preisniveau auf dem Grundstücksmarkt stehe in krassem Gegensatz zur derzeitigen Schwäche der britischen Wirtschaft, sagte Jon Cunliffe.
London  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  hunt  for  yield  2014  monetary  policy  unknown  unknowns  unintended  consequences  complexity  macroprudential  policy  BOE  faultlines  economies  of  agglomeration  structural  imbalance  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  urban  planning  urbanisation  asset  bubble  recovery  UK  microeconomic  policy  microeconomies  microeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  economic  history  BBC  MediaCity  Manchester 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Bond Yields Lowest Since Napoleon Are No Comfort to Europe Amid Deflation Fight - Businessweek
Germany issued 5yr bond with a yield of .45%, last year same type of issue was arount the .3% mark. OUCH, way below inflation. - "" “The outright level of yields is suggesting an incredibly weak outlook for growth,” “It’s a powerful signal telling you policy is too tight and that there’s complacency toward the risks. Not a great deal has been solved. We’ve still got bank stress tests to come, too low growth and too low inflation.” ""
deflation  deflationary  ECB  unconventional  monetary  policy  modern  monetary  theory  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  policy  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Super  Cycle  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  unemployment  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  OMT  QE  economic  history  recovery  GFC  greatrecession  greatdepression  2014  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Bundesbank  fiscal  policy  Career  Politicians  Politics  Germany 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Scottish independence: Cost of new bodies 'could be £1.5bn'
if history is a guide, ie East Germany - West Germany - this example show that in case of no Plan A and Plan B that is backed-up and stands on solid ground ... then costs will run out of control, economic uncertainy and damage ensues and badly tainsts UK, Scotland and trust by voters. As of now, Scotland seems not to have a credible plan with credible numbers and sound footing. This has been their homework, they doing it now while on the bus to the voting booths. Stupid. Result will be tight, but because of the uncertainty, it is unlikely to be a yes.
Scottish  Independence  economic  history  Scottish  referendum  2014  Career  Politicians  trust  trustagent  confidence  uncertainty 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Election results 2014: Ukip blames London election performance on difficulty appealing to the 'educated and cultured' - UK Politics - UK - The Independent
Election results prove Ukip can damage Labour as well as Tories Both parties need to rethink their campaign strategies if they are to beat back the Farage fox in the Westminster henhouse http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/may/23/election-results-prove-ukip-damage-labour-tories-farage || + Ed Miliband NEED TO RAISE HIS GAME! >> What do the council results mean for the 2015 general election? It is not easy to extrapolate from local election results, but these ones could suggest Labour falling just short of a working majority http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/may/23/what-council-results-mean-2015-general-election ||| + London is Ukip's worst nightmare The local election results highlight how out-of-step London attitudes pose a serious dilemma for Labour and Tories ""LONDON is metropolitan elite concerned chiefly with itself."" - http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/may/23/london-ukip-nightmare-labout-tories-local-elections-farage || +++ http://bbc.in/1qZCqn1
UKIP  general  election  2015  UK  Council  2014  Ed  Miliband  Labour  Party  Conservative  Party  Liberal  Democrats  Politics  election  campaign  promises  London  economies  of  agglomeration  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  job  creation  job  market  economic  divide  jobmarket  jobcreation  skill-biased  technological  change  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  productivity  comparative  advantage  comparative-advantage  competitive  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  Nigel  Farage  davidcameron  GeorgeOsborne  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Nick  Clegg  Career  Politicians  PPE  social  society  Europe  immigration  David  Cameron 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Draper University & Tim Draper's state of California | Launch Festival 2014 - YouTube
California is 50th in tersm of edu cost (too expensive), California spends 3% of their rev on infrastructure investments. ... It has to be really bad that they see as only solution to make it smaller. make 6. The only good thing that has CA going is the weather and that can have unintended consequences as well - extreme weather events, droughts, wildfires, flashfloods, ... http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2014/02/splitting-up-california + http://www.advancingafreesociety.org/eureka/sacramento-spotlight-six-californias-part-1-demographics-of-the-new-states/ + http://www.equities.com/editors-desk/economy-markets/economic-data-news/the-economic-impact-of-six-californias + http://draperuniversity.com/ ||| +++ http://youtu.be/2q8XOhm_LDE -- BOOK ! 'The race for reinvention' ""The Fourth Revolution: The Global Race to Reinvent the State"" - - IN THEIR new book, John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge explain why the state faces a historic juncture
California  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  government  spending  governance  oversight  transparency  accountability  Six  Californias  Tim  Draper  Draper  University  education  Higher  formal  education  business  education  education  bubble  economic  history  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  income  inequality  Politics  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  Silicon  Valley  public  transportation  urbanisation  urban  planning  The  State  of  California  grassroots  movement  public  policy  drought  water  security  water  scarcity  water  supply  2014  San  Francisco  Los  Angeles  San  Diego  history  policy  error  policy  folly  Makers  Book  fiscal  policy  political  folly  political  theory  political  error  political  economy  political  science 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - UK's oil, coal and gas 'gone in five years'
"Britain has just 5.2 years of oil." Aberdeen companies (whole region) got 2 pivot 2 off-shore windfarm tech and maintenance and tidal wave technology [clean tech - clean energy technology]. PLUS there is the decommissioning business, decommissioning of oil and gas platforms. Plus the option of building/solidifying itself as knowledge and skill hub for global oil and gas business - the mobile creative / skill-based worker. Otherwise it could turn sour quiet quickly like the areas where the coal mines and other post-heavy industry locations in the UK were - them being still smudge of economic inactivity on UK's economic landscape and economic history. "Ministers are hoping that enough shale gas - extracted by fracking - will be obtained to make a difference, the BBC's environment analyst Roger Harrabin says." The gas amount from fracking in UK is negligible, not comparable to USA even if accounted 4 landmass size & energy usage/capita. + http://econ.st/1n8oyAZ http://econ.st/1gdiesV
UK  energy  security  energy  policy  industrial  policy  Aberdeen  renewable  energy  clean  tech  clean  energy  technology  Scotland  Scottish  Independence  economic  history  davidcameron  GeorgeOsborne  public  policy  green  energy  fracking  shalegas  shale  gas  2014  2015  nuclear  power  energy  crunch  brownouts  blackouts  competitiveness  Russian  Reliance  Europe  foreign  policy  foreign  affairs  Career  Politicians  accountability  governance  democracy  long-term  thinking  short-term  thinking  election  campaign  promises  general  election  2015 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - When will the UK pay its way in the world?
In absolute terms it has been impossible for UK debts to fall. >> Now what was a little worrying was that the deficit on the current account reached 5.6% of GDP, or economic output, in the third quarter of 2013 and fell to just a little bit lower, 5.4%, in the fourth quarter. That 5.6% was - ahem - something of a milestone: it was the biggest quarterly deficit since records began in 1955. And it explains why the record aggregate indebtedness of the UK has been falling so slowly, and is still not much below 500% of GDP on the Mckinsey measure (though see my previous blog). [...] UK's - limp trading performance - for YEARS! ... COMPETING against BRICs, Europe, G8, ... now and in the future competing with MINT countries too ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MINT_countries ). [...] "We have not got forever to reconstruct our economy and become a bit more like the European export emperor, Germany."
UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  sovereign  crisis  private  consumer  bubble  jubilee  monetization  household  public  debtoverhang  monetisation  restructuring  austerity  current  account  deficit  economic  history  2014  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  davidcameron  GeorgeOsborne  public  policy  financial  repression  New  Normal  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield  deflationary  productivity  output  gap  competitiveness  knowledge  worker  skill-biased  technological  change  skill  capital  skills  London  White-collar  Blue-collar  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  value  creation  Industrial  globalisation  globalization  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  21stcentury  BRIC  MINT  Europe  free  trade  Germany  exports  export 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Today's Good News From Japan Is Terrible - Bloomberg View
uroda is finding that his monetary largess isn't boosting credit creation as hoped. Inflation, yes, as Japan imports more energy with a weaker yen. But the kind of monetary multiplier effect the BOJ hoped to unleash by now remains elusive, as the experience of Mizuho Financial Group and Japan’s other two biggest banks demonstrate. All three are forecasting a drop in earnings for this year as loan growth loses momentum and returns from stock investments wane. Kuroda is a respected economist who's staked his entire legacy on ending Japan's deflation. What's more, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe isn't coming through with sweeping structural reforms to boost consumer demand and business confidence. However unfairly, that puts the onus on Kuroda. It also places Japan in uncharted territory. Will bond traders sit back passively if the BOJ adds lots more stimulus to the economy? It's impossible to tell. + http://www.ofce.sciences-po.fr/blog/abenomics-new-monetary-policy/
BOJ  QE  ZIRP  Japan  lostdecade  lost  decade  2014  deflationary  deflation  trust  trustagent  confidence  Kuroda  Put  Greenspan-Put  Greenspan  Put  economic  history  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  bond  bubble  unintended  consequences  unknown  unknowns  complexity  Debt  Super  Cycle  sovereign  crisis  Nikkei  JPY  faultlines  global  imbalances  Fed  Taper  Janet  Yellen  Abenomics  Shinzo  Abe  fiscal  stimulus  accommodative  monetary  policy  liquidity-trap  liquidity  trap 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Bundesbank Open to Significant ECB Stimulus in June if 2016 Inflation Forecasts Lowered - WSJ.com
BuBa  Bundesbank  ECB  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  PIGS  recovery  2014  ZIRP  OMT  negative  real  interest  rate  NIRP  monetary  stimulus  stimulus  economic  history  deflation  deflationary  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  long-term  unemployment  structural  imbalance  Impediments  structural  unemployment  Europe  Career  Politicians  IMF  MarioDraghi  participation  rate  productivity  Germany  unintended  consequences  unknown  unknowns  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  structural  deficit  negative  deposit  rate  deposit  facility  overnight  deposit  facility 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Thomas Piketty: on tour with the 'rock-star economist' -video | Business | theguardian.com
Thomas Piketty. funny thing, at this meeting in min 3. no handshake, no spreading germs. less sick days. ;) ... +++ Faisal Islam on The Default Line - video interview - http://www.theguardian.com/business/video/2013/aug/16/faisal-islam-default-line-video || + Michael Lewis: the stock market is rigged – video interview - http://www.theguardian.com/business/video/2014/apr/30/michael-lewis-the-stock-market-is-rigged-video-interview ||
Thomas  Piketty  Robert  Reich  Book  documentary  Gini  coefficient  post-recession  post-crisis  GVC  greatrecession  greatdepression  recovery  2014  income  inequality  income  mobility  coldprogression  kalte  Progression  social  mobility  low-income  income  growth  income  distribution  tax  free  income  disposable  income  crony  capitalism  greed  Super  Rich  corporate  governance  journalism  journalismus  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  economic  history  long-term  thinking  accountability  governance  public  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  policy-makers  lostdecade  lostgeneration  long-term  unemployment  underemployed  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  unemployment  Europe  USA  UK  sovereign  debt  crisis  democracy  inequality  Faisal  Islam  generational  contract  Environmental  Movement  disaster  Millennials  generationy  babyboomers  HFT  WallStreet  toobigtofail 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
British austerity is no model for the rest of the world - FT.com
the pace of fiscal contraction has slowed over the past two years. This means that the brake on growth caused by fiscal policy is becoming more attenuated. So the turnround in growth over the past 18 months is as much evidence against austerity as it is pro-austerity. Second, faced with the potential damage caused by the deficit reduction to demand and economic growth, the UK government has been forced to introduce a number of extraordinary measures to support lending. [...] It certainly should not, however, be seen as any kind of inspiration to other companies or countries. + http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/10807988/Rapid-rate-rises-could-throw-UK-back-into-recession.html
Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BOE  austerity  Mark  Carney  davidcameron  GeorgeOsborne  recovery  2014  GFC  zombie  consumer  Debt  Super  Cycle  private  sovereign  crisis  consumer  bubble  monetization  monetisation  QE  ZIRP  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  election  campaign  promises  general  election  2015  election2015  unintended  consequences  unknown  unknowns  productivity  wage  stagnation  living  wage  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  financial  repression  New  Normal  structural  deficit  budget  deficit  jubilee  public  household  debtoverhang  liquidity-trap  economic  history  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  mortgage  market  housing  market  Supply  Supply  Shortfall  public  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  unconventional  monetary  policy  policy-makers  policy  makers  democracy  Politics  UK 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Warning: Stocks Will Collapse by 50
Billion-dollar investor Warren Buffett is rumored to be preparing for a crash as well. The “Warren Buffett Indicator,” also known as the “Total-Market-Cap to GDP Ratio,” is breaching sell-alert status and a collapse may happen at any moment. + Fed took this week extra meeting. for what, nobody knows - only speculations.
stockmarekt  WallStreet  warrenbuffet  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Fed  ZIRP  QE  BOE  ECB  OMT  NIRP  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  complexity  unknown  unknowns  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  policy  2014  GFC  economic  history 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Chris Cook crunches the numbers - Newsnight - YouTube
what if current productivity numbers are - as good as it gets. and the productivity high from 2006-7-8 was hugely inflated by london, super rich, banking and financial services industry!? thus what if we are running currently at full speed possible although it looks (in comparison to 06/07/08 slower) so slow. thus ... austerity needs to go on for much longer to eliminate budget deficit and possibility of inflation and wage inflation spiral is nearer to the horizon than what the BOE (with its ZIRP and QE policy) has it scheduled to arrive and thus then forced to hike rates earlier than though and debt servicing will be more expensive ... for gov and debt holder and mortgage holders.
UK  budget2014  budget  budget  deficit  GeorgeOsborne  davidcameron  recovery  2014  economic  history  academia  academics  output-gap  output  gap  Productivity  unemployment  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  imbalance  faultlines  BOE  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  QE  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  mortgage  market  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble 
march 2014 by asterisk2a
Wolfgang Münchau: Die Gefahren des Jahres 2014 - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Beide Seiten haben Grund zu Pessimismus. Die strukturkonservative Bundeskanzlerin sieht mit Schrecken, dass Frankreich, Spanien und Italien keineswegs geneigt sind, deutsch zu werden. Euro-föderale Kritiker wie ich sind darüber enttäuscht, dass es weder eine Fiskalunion noch eine echte Bankenunion geben wird. Für uns ist das, was letzte Woche beschlossen wurde, keine Bankenunion, sondern nur ein schlechter Witz. Jedes Land bleibt für seinen eigenen Bankensektor verantwortlich. Das vorrangige ökonomische Ziel, die Risiken von Banken und Staaten zu trennen, ist dahin. Stattdessen ist die Bankenunion nur noch ein komplizierter administrativer Prozess.
Europe  europeanunion  banking  union  banking  crisis  bank  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  fiscal  sovereignty  austerity  2013  2014  France  Spain  Italy  liberal  economic  reform  greatrecession  greatdepression  lostdecade  lostgeneration  Japan  economic  history  history  Angela  Merkel  political  folly  political  error  FrancoisHollande  policy  error  policy  folly  ECB  creditcrisis  creditcrunch  M3  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Richardkoo  reflation  deflationary  deflation  inflation  ZIRP  QE  LTRO  unintended  consequences  NIRP  negative  real  interest  rate  unconventional  monetary  policy 
december 2013 by asterisk2a

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