allaboutgeorge + polls   14

The Media Has A Probability Problem | FiveThirtyEight
The reason is not because the world is highly predictable or because data can solve every problem, but because human judgment is more fallible than most people realize — and being more disciplined and rigorous in your approach can give you a fighting chance of getting the story right. The world isn’t one where things always turn out exactly as we want them to or expect them to. But it’s the world we live in.
statistics  journalism  elections  polls  mathematics  politics  media 
8 weeks ago by allaboutgeorge
Op-Ed Columnist - Paranormal Flexibility - NYTimes.com
For the first time in 47 years of polling, the number of Americans who said that they have had a religious or mystical experience, which the question defined as a “moment of sudden religious insight or awakening,” was greater than those who said that they had not.

(Question: Does the first time I saw Michael Jackson’s “Thriller” video count?)
religion  spirituality  usa  polls  data  music  politics 
december 2009 by allaboutgeorge
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right: McCain and Michigan
"It's annoying that intrade just lists the EV totals, since what we're really interested in is probabilities of each candidate winning.

I've put together a tool that takes the Intrade state-by-state prices and runs them through a Monte Carlo sim like the one used here (mine uses 100,000 runs instead of 10,000 because I'm more manly). You can see the results here:

http://xkcd.com/intrade "
elections  obama  mccain  democrats  republicans  campaigns  data  information  polls 
october 2008 by allaboutgeorge
Summary of Findings: Awareness of Iraq War Fatalities Plummets
"According to the News Content Index conducted by the Project for Excellence in Journalism, the percentage of news stories devoted to the war has sharply declined since last year, dropping from an average of 15% of the newshole in July to just 3% in Febru
statistics  polls  war  iraq  news  journalism  media 
march 2008 by allaboutgeorge
Improvement in Life Seen in Sub-Saharan Africa - New York Times
"We have seen significant strides for democratic liberty and practices in the last 10 or 15 years. It is also a fact that in most of their countries, average citizens have not seen a significant improvement in their material circumstances [...]"
africa  polls  african  politics 
july 2007 by allaboutgeorge
Happiness | Who is smiling? | Economist.com
"[A] poll of 130 countries by Gallup found more people in wealthy places (America, Europe, Japan, Saudi Arabia) consider themselves happy, while those in poor countries (in Africa especially) generally do not."
happiness  polls  research  globalization  psychology 
july 2007 by allaboutgeorge
Field Maloney takes readers' questions on the rise of wine and fall of beer. - - Slate Magazine
"Even though more Americans said they preferred wine in that pool, beer still outsold wine 6 to 1. So either a very few people drink a whole lot of beer, or people are more stuck on beer than they let on."
beverages  wine  alcohol  polls  usa 
june 2007 by allaboutgeorge
All aboard the Condi Mobile! | Salon News
"She's a black woman; I think that's 90 percent of it. She's highly articulate, she seems more intelligent than the president. Part of it is just the fact that she's a path-breaker."
2008  elections  republicans  gop  polls  politics 
may 2007 by allaboutgeorge
Muslims assimilate better in U.S. than Europe, poll finds - International Herald Tribune
"African-American Muslims were more than three times as likely as Muslim immigrants - the largest numbers coming from Pakistan, Iran, India and Lebanon - to express dissatisfaction with national conditions."
islam  religion  polls  usa  india  iran  lebanon  pakistan  race  identity  ethnicity  immigration 
may 2007 by allaboutgeorge
Some younger U.S. Muslims say suicide bombings could be justified - Los Angeles Times
"[N]ative-born African American Muslims, who make up about 20% of the Muslim community [...] are the most disillusioned [...] tending to be more skeptical of the view that hard work pays off and less satisfied with the way things are going [...]"
islam  black  race  usa  polls  religion  losangeles 
may 2007 by allaboutgeorge
Des'ree boasts worst pop lyric of all time | Lifestyle | Reuters
"I don't want to see a ghost/ It's the sight that I fear most/ I'd rather have a piece of toast/ Watch the evening news."
songwriting  aesthetics  pop  rock  uk  polls  food 
may 2007 by allaboutgeorge
WaPo: A Post-Bush Mind-Set
"(T)he Harris Poll showed that 41 percent of Americans still link Saddam Hussein with the hijackers. What's more disheartening is the gender gap of misinformation: 51 percent of women compared with 29 percent of men connect Iraq and al Qaeda."
gender  iraq  polls  saddam  usa 
october 2004 by allaboutgeorge
WaPo: Distrust of Muslims Common in U.S., Poll Finds
"People younger than 45, African Americans and people with Muslim friends or colleagues generally had more favorable views about Islam than did other Americans." Hey, that's me!
demography  islam  polls  religion  usa 
october 2004 by allaboutgeorge

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