HispanicPundit + immigration   455

Bloggingheads.tv - Wright vs Kaus
Discuss immigration, upcoming elections and foreign policy.
Immigration  Kaus  Wright  foreignpolicy  bloggingheads 
january 2019 by HispanicPundit
Trump Has Made U.S. Policy Much More Resistant To Immigration — Without The Wall | FiveThirtyEight
But while understanding his reasoning is important, there’s little dispute about the effects of Trump’s policies. Wall or no, a lot has already happened, and more big changes could be on the way. The wall is a story. But the story is how Trump has already remade U.S. immigration policy.
Immigration  TrumpAdministration  FiveThirtyEight 
december 2018 by HispanicPundit
Illegals scarf up welfare, with new Census data confirming 63% of non-citizens helping themselves
New data from the Census show that 63% of non-citizens are helping themselves to the welfare.  They get it legally, and sometimes illegally, through food programs, general assistance programs, Medicaid, and the earned income tax credit for low-income workers, just for starters.  They get even more when benefits derived from their U.S.-born children are thrown in, though bringing in a kid born elsewhere is also an asset.
Immigration  welfare  AmericanThinker 
december 2018 by HispanicPundit
Border Walls
At a construction cost of approximately $7 per person in the United States, we estimate that the border wall expansion harmed Mexican workers and high-skill U.S. workers, but benefited U.S. low-skill workers, who achieved gains equivalent to an increase in per capita income of $0.36. In contrast, a counterfactual policy which instead reduced trade costs between the United States and Mexico by 25% would have resulted in both greater declines in Mexico to United States migration and substantial welfare gains for all workers.
Immigration  NBER 
november 2018 by HispanicPundit
How are immigrants and refugees in Sweden doing? - Marginal REVOLUTION
We use administrative Swedish data to show that, conditional on parent income, immigrant children have similar incomes and higher educational attainment in adulthood than native-born Swedes. This result, however, masks the fact that immigrant children born into poor families are more likely than similar natives to both reach the top of the income distribution and to stay at the bottom. Immigrant children from high-income families are also more likely than natives to regress to the economic bottom. Notably, however, children from predominantly-refugee sending countries like Bosnia, Syria, and Iran have higher intergenerational mobility than the average immigrant child in Sweden.
Immigration  Sweden  NBER  Cowen 
november 2018 by HispanicPundit
Bloggingheads.tv - The Wright Show - Mickey Kaus
Wright and Kaus on the election, Trump Administration, immigration, Russia Investigation etc.
Immigration  TrumpAdministration  wright  Kaus  bloggingheads 
november 2018 by HispanicPundit
Rising Democratic extremism, by Steve Sailer - The Unz Review
Above are a couple of informative graphs showing how extremist Democrats became on the key issues of race and immigration after Obama won re-election. A central question about our time is: Why did Democrats go nuts in c. 2013?

A second question is whether Democratic ideological extremism is related to the apparent rise in psychological problem around 2013. And which causes what?

LINKBOOKMARKI offered one possible explanation in Taki’s Magazine in my review of Haidt and Lukianoff’s The Coddling of the American Mind.
Democrats  Racism  Immigration  Sailer 
october 2018 by HispanicPundit
"Yale Study Finds Twice as Many Undocumented Immigrants as Previous Estimates", by Steve Sailer - The Unz Review
Generally accepted estimates put the population of undocumented immigrants in the United States at approximately 11.3 million. A new study, using mathematical modeling on a range of demographic and immigration operations data, suggests that the actual undocumented immigrant population may be more than 22 million.
Immigration  USA  Sailer 
september 2018 by HispanicPundit
Does immigration help the Dems? – Econlib
I don’t believe that immigration will make America more diverse, nor do I think it will make the electorate vote more Democratic.  That’s because immigration from Asia and Latin America has made earlier immigrants from southern and eastern Europe seem less different, more “white” than they seemed in 1924, when immigration was restricted because America seemed to be becoming extremely diverse. By the 1950s, that same ethnic mix was viewed as homogeneous.  Intermarriage rates are now so high that the day will come when both Asians and middle class Hispanics will be viewed as culturally “white”.  Fifty years from now America will still be about 75% “white”, in terms of people’s perceptions. (The black population will stay around 13%)  Diversity is a state of mind.

And as immigration brings in people who don’t vote Republican, it makes existing residents more likely to vote Republican.  Thus each party will continue to win roughly half of the vote.
Immigration  voting  Republicans  cowen  Summers 
august 2018 by HispanicPundit
Media bid to blame Trump for US policy on illegals and children is dishonest
She seems unaware of a 1997 law showing that it is the law that minors are released in the U.S., while parents do not have the same rights under the law.  What's more, President Obama enacted more of the same policy in 2014.  Trump is absolutely right.  He and his administration are following the law.  It is obviously the parents' fault that they are separated from their children and not our government's fault.
Immigration  TrumpAdministration  AmericanThinker 
june 2018 by HispanicPundit
An unsurprising immigration poll
In the latest CBS News/YouGov poll, nearly 60 percent of white likely voters who see changes in their neighborhood from mass immigration said that immigration made their community "worse." 

Only 15 percent of these voters said immigration has made American life "better."  These likely voters live in swing districts which could be swayed towards either the Republicans or Democrats in the 2018 midterm elections.
Immigration  polls  AmericanThinker 
june 2018 by HispanicPundit
Former shot-caller is now spilling gang's secrets - Page 2 - latimes
A network of families related by birth and marriage cemented the gang. They hail from Tlalchapa, Guerrero, a town in a violent region several hours west of Mexico City.

Real's mother, Maria Leon, an illegal immigrant from Tlalchapa, had 14 children on Drew Street, including 10 sons, with four men, he said. She had sold drugs there since the late 1980s, Real said, as did his uncles, aunts, cousins and stepfathers. He and his brothers each joined the gang as they entered their teens.
gangs  Immigration  LosAngeles  Mexico  guerrero 
june 2018 by HispanicPundit
Republicans’ Millennial Problem Isn’t What You Think | City Journal
Millennials don’t give Democrats large majorities because of that party’s social liberalism and multiculturalism; they vote for Democrats because they are, in substantial numbers, racial minorities.
millenials  Minorities  Immigration  voting  Republicans  city-journal 
may 2018 by HispanicPundit
Low-skilled immigration seems to boost support for Republicans - Marginal REVOLUTION
In this paper we study the impact of immigration to the United States on the vote for the Republican Party by analyzing county-level data on election outcomes between 1990 and 2010. Our main contribution is to separate the effect of high-skilled and low-skilled immigrants, by exploiting the different geography and timing of the inflows of these two groups of immigrants. We find that an increase in the first type of immigrants decreases the share of the Republican vote, while an inflow of the second type increases it. These effects are mainly due to the local impact of immigrants on votes of U.S. citizens and they seem independent of the country of origin of immigrants. We also find that the pro-Republican impact of low-skilled immigrants is stronger in low-skilled and non-urban counties. This is consistent with citizens’ political preferences shifting towards the Republican Party in places where low-skilled immigrants are more likely to be perceived as competition in the labor market and for public resources.
Immigration  Politics  Republicans  Cowen  NBER 
may 2018 by HispanicPundit
Dr. Pritchett's Six Bitter Pills, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
3. Another is that on many individualized indicators of well-being (education, health, malnutrition, self-reported subjective well-being) the gaps between the sexes within poor countries are at least an order of magnitude smaller than the gaps between males in poor countries and females in rich (OECD) countries.

4. Another is the point Dani Rodrik has made (and Branko and me using Engle curves and food shares not income) that the rich in poor countries (e.g. 95th percentile) are much poorer than the poor in rich countries (say 20th percentile).
Inequality  Poverty  pritchett  blattman  Caplan  genderissues  wages  Immigration 
april 2018 by HispanicPundit
Oops! 100,000 non-citizens registered to vote in Pennsylvania
February 26, 2018: The Public Interest Legal Foundation (PILF) filed a lawsuit today against the Pennsylvania Department of State for failing to disclose a reported 100,000 noncitizen registered voter records under federal law (PILF v. Torres et. al. 1:18-cv-00463).
Immigration  voting  AmericanThinker 
february 2018 by HispanicPundit
The Fatal Flaw in John R. Lott Jr.’s Study on Illegal Immigrant Crime in Arizona | Cato @ Liberty
Lott erroneously assumed that the third category, called “non-US citizen and deportable,” only counted illegal immigrants. That is not true, non-US citizen and deportable immigrants are not all illegal immigrants. A significant proportion of non-U.S. citizens who are deported every year are legal immigrants who violate the terms of their visas in one way or the other, frequently by committing crimes. According to the American Immigration Council, about 10 percent of people deported annually are Lawful Permanent Residents or green card holders—and that doesn’t include the non-immigrants on other visas who were lawfully present in the United States and then deported. I will write more about this below.
Immigration  crime  lott  Cato  nowrasteh 
february 2018 by HispanicPundit
On immigration, one event turned the Democrats from deplorable to open-doorable – Orange County Register
And most importantly, few people knew in 2005 when the Service Employees International Union decided to break away from the AFL-CIO, mostly over the issue of immigration, the debate over the border would be changed forever.

Prior to this split, trade unions were largely against open borders. They figured that bringing in an influx of cheaper workers would break unions and drive down wages....

Then in the 2000’s, all of the power in organized labor shifted from manufacturing to the service and public sectors, and suddenly the SEIU started calling all the shots.

The new bosses immediately put the word out that they wanted open borders. Elected Democrats “evolved” on the subject overnight and declared that anybody who didn’t get the memo lives in a basket with other deplorables!
Democrats  unions  Immigration 
january 2018 by HispanicPundit
Immigration & The World's Most Important Graph, by Steve Sailer - The Unz Review
Your opinions on the principles of immigration policy aren’t actually all that relevant unless you can explain how they will help us deal with what we see in the world’s most important graph.
Immigration  Africa  graph  Sailer 
january 2018 by HispanicPundit
Take a step back: Did Trump really even say the s-word?
The reality is that Trump probably used coarse language to make a valid point: why are we letting people with no skills and whose allegiance is to their tribe, not their country in when we're keeping people with skills and whose allegiance is to the rule of law out?
TrumpAdministration  Immigration 
january 2018 by HispanicPundit
Truth on DACA: We've already granted amnesty to these illegals
This is largely analogous to the situation with the DACA illegals.  They have already received amnesty.  We're not going to punish them for remaining in our country, even though they've long known their presence here is a violation of law.  We're not even going to demand they reimburse us for the American services (e.g., education, handouts) from which they've greatly benefited.  They're way ahead of the game (and we're being played).  Insisting that someone return to his native land is not punishment.  It's mercy.  It amounts simply to making things right.
DACA  Immigration  AmericanThinker 
january 2018 by HispanicPundit
Just who are the 'DREAMers'?
The Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) tells us that nearly half of illegal aliens who are eligible for DACA have only a "basic" proficiency of the English language and 24 percent are considered "below basic" or "functionally illiterate."  This blows away the claims of the [l]eft that D[REAM]ers are productive members of our society, when it appears most don't want to assimilate at all.
DreamAct  Immigration  AmericanThinker 
january 2018 by HispanicPundit
Coulter on Immigration, David Henderson | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
What if I weren't convinced by Alex's evidence? It wouldn't cause me to be against immigration. There are such huge gains from trade between immigrants and us that we shouldn't cut ourselves or them off from those gains. The solution is not to restrict immigration but to focus on the problem at hand. If you worry that immigrants will vote for bigger government, then address that problem, not immigration per se. My solution, to the extent this is a problem, is to have a longer residency requirement before one can become a citizen. Let people have a better understanding of the system before they vote. I got my green card in 1977 and didn't become a citizen until 1986. That was 9 years without voting, and it wasn't a big deal. What about making it 20 years?

Or how about insisting that immigrants pay at least $100,000 in taxes cumulatively before they can vote? (I think Bryan Caplan suggested this but I can't find the reference.)
Immigration  voting  Henderson  nowrasteh 
december 2017 by HispanicPundit
Obama's 'unaccompanied children' turn up big in latest MS13 gang sweep
Nearly one third, or 64 arrestees, were Obama's much-vaunted 'unaccompanied children' - otherwise subjects of teary news stories and images of cute little toddlers playing pattycake in immigration detention centers. Like this one here. In reality, quite a large number of these 'unaccompanied children' were more like this.
Immigration  ObamaFailures  crime  gangs  AmericanThinker 
december 2017 by HispanicPundit
A Vast But Dwindling Reservoir of Nativism, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
If public support for immigration is so high, why has political opposition become so vocal?  Because public support for immigration, though relatively high, remains absolutely low.  And that's all it takes for anti-immigration demagoguery to work.  The real puzzle isn't, "Why did Trump take a strong anti-immigration stand in 2016?" but "Why doesn't every presidential candidate take a strong anti-immigration stand in every election?"  And the obvious solution to this puzzle is elite-on-elite pressure: elites are more cosmopolitan than the masses - and shame fellow elites who dissent.  Trump won by being the sort of elite who treats elite shame as a badge of honor.
TrumpCampaign  Immigration  polls  Caplan 
november 2017 by HispanicPundit
The other open borders issue: The opioid crisis
The page shows that most trafficking is land-based, and the traffic over the northern border, from Canada, while not as bad as Mexican border trafficking, is not insignificant, either.  It notes that Arizona, which has a more aggressive seizure policy at its borders, has significantly fewer drug deaths compared to its neighbors.  It also notes that as land routes shut down, drug-traffickers turn to higher-volume and higher-risk sea and air routes.  All the same, it concludes from its data that there is a significant foreign component to the opioid epidemic, one that comes explicitly from an absence of border enforcement.  While Trump will probably focus on the problems of the buyers of these drugs and the need for curing them, there is also the problem of the open borders sellers.
Immigration  drugs  AmericanThinker 
october 2017 by HispanicPundit
Democrats are taking a hard line on immigration — from the left - Vox
Democrats have come to defer to organized immigration activists in a way they didn’t 10 years ago, or even during the early years of the Obama administration. Thanks in part to a change of strategy by major labor unions, whose success in organizing immigrant-heavy professions like the hospitality industry rather than relying on its traditional manufacturing base, this important component of the Democratic base has wholly embraced the idea of comprehensive immigration reform. As a result, the party has moved substantially to the left on the issue of immigration enforcement.
Democrats  Immigration  voxeu 
october 2017 by HispanicPundit
Andrew Sullivan: “Democrats increasingly seem to suggest that any kind of distinction between citizens and noncitizens is somehow racist” - The Unz Review
And this is one reason why I have dwindling hopes that the Democratic Party will be able to defeat Trump in 2020. Instead of adjusting to this new reality, and listening to the electorate, the Dems have moved ever farther to the left, and are controlled by ever-radicalizing activists. …
Immigration  Democrats  sullivan  nyMag 
october 2017 by HispanicPundit
Democrats growing more extremist, sacralistic, anti-empirical - The Unz Review
As with views of racial discrimination, there has been a major shift in Democrats’ opinions about immigrants. The share of Democrats who say immigrants strengthen the country has increased from 32% in 1994 to 84% today. By contrast, Republicans are divided in attitudes about immigrants: 42% say they strengthen the country, while 44% view them as a burden. In 1994, 30% of Republicans said immigrants strengthened the country, while 64% said they were a burden.
polls  Immigration  Racism  Democrats  Republicans  Sailer 
october 2017 by HispanicPundit
How the Democrats Lost Their Way on Immigration - The Atlantic
A larger explanation is political. Between 2008 and 2016, Democrats became more and more confident that the country’s growing Latino population gave the party an electoral edge. To win the presidency, Democrats convinced themselves, they didn’t need to reassure white people skeptical of immigration so long as they turned out their Latino base. “The fastest-growing sector of the American electorate stampeded toward the Democrats this November,” Salon declared after Obama’s 2008 win. “If that pattern continues, the GOP is doomed to 40 years of wandering in a desert.”
Immigration  Democrats  AtlanticMonthly  voting 
september 2017 by HispanicPundit
Why was McCain’s share of immigrant vote worse than Trump’s? - The Unz Review
More plausible is that immigrants sensed in Obama, even though he was technically born in an American state (having become one two years before), a fellow non-autochton.
Immigration  voting  Sailer 
september 2017 by HispanicPundit
Blog: Left's oddsmaker FiveThirtyEight sees grim prospects for DACA
The lefty website also notes that Republicans are more animated by the issue than Democrats and this isn't lost on Republicans. This means they probably won't pay a price if nothing is done on DACA over the next six months and the program is left to lapse, but they could suffer in the polls, and face primary challenges - from challengers with hardline immigration stances that historically win - if an amnesty program is put into place, due to the energized political base.
Immigration  policy  FiveThirtyEight  AmericanThinker 
september 2017 by HispanicPundit
Blog: DACA: Lifestyles of the cosseted and illegal
The reality about DACA recipients in the statistics tells a different story: DACA recipients in fact lag behind the general population as underachievers with higher-than-average college dropout rates
DACA  Immigration  AmericanThinker 
september 2017 by HispanicPundit
A Tale of Two Janitors - The Unz Review
Uh, there is also the difference that Ms. Evans started in a blue collar workforce, 20th Century upstate New York, dominated by native-born Americans, while Ms. Ramos started in a blue collar workforce, turn of the century California, dominated by immigrants.

Of course, as in virtually all articles about one of the two key I-Words — inequality — there is no mention of the other key I-World — immigration.
Immigration  Inequality  NewYorkTimes  Sailer 
september 2017 by HispanicPundit
Federal judge in Detroit to consider whether to halt deportation of Iraqis from across the country - LA Times
“The operation in this region was specifically conducted to address the very real public safety threat represented by the criminal aliens arrested,” she said in a statement. “The vast majority of those arrested in the Detroit metropolitan area have very serious felony convictions, multiple felony convictions in many cases.”
immigration  deportations  TrumpAdministration 
june 2017 by HispanicPundit
Trump’s Immigration Compromise - The American Interest
Of the two Obama orders in question, DAPA was always a more radical program. As CNN notes, DACA applies to just three-quarters of a million people while DAPA reaches six times as many–effectively granting amnesty to over a third of the U.S. illegal immigrant population, and possibly more. And while deferred action for “Dreamers” is broadly popular, President Obama’s order suspending immigration laws for millions of people who knowingly violated immigration laws as adults doesn’t have nearly as strong of a moral or political basis.
immigration  TrumpAdministration  AmericanInterest 
june 2017 by HispanicPundit
Ancestry and Long-Run Growth Reading Club: Concluding Thoughts, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
1. If you want to understand why some countries are rich and others are poor, ancestry research is a major advance.  Like it or not, countries inhabited by the descendants of relatively economically successful societies tend to remain relatively economically successful today.  Transplanting advanced civilizations has proven easier than transforming backwards civilizations.
genetics  development  AbsolutePoverty  caplan  immigration 
june 2017 by HispanicPundit
Trust and Diversity: Not a Bang But a Whimper, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
What's especially striking, though, is that Putnam finds several variables that strongly predict trust that almost no one discusses.  Look at the effect of home-ownership.  Not only do home-owners average .25 higher trust; there's also a -.14 coefficient on "Census Tract Percent Renters."  Net effect of moving from 0% to 100% home ownership: .39.  Holding all else constant, citizenship is good for trust: a mere .06 for the individual, but a solid .21 for the community.  Net effect of moving from 0% to 100% citizenship: .27.  There are also big effects of crime, population density, and commuting time.  Geographic mobility, strangely, seems to reduce individual trust but raise social trust.
diversity  culture  trust  caplan  immigration 
june 2017 by HispanicPundit
How Trump Affected Political Correctness - The American Interest
Regardless of whether Trump actually builds a wall or successfully gets his travel ban through the court system, it seems that his rhetoric has created a fundamental shift in the way Americans talk (or don’t talk) about immigration policy—and probably other sensitive issues, as well. That the president survived the Access Hollywood tape, the Megyn Kelly feud, and his remarks about the Khans (to give a few examples) might have also had an “emperor has no clothes” effect on certain social taboos.
TrumpCampaign  immigration  politicallyincorrect  speech  AmericanInterest 
june 2017 by HispanicPundit
A new paper rekindles a tiresome debate on immigration and wages
Mr Borjas’ work has sparked plenty of controversy–his blog notes at least three challenges to his work, see here, here and here. After a few months of relative tranquility, Mariel has once again come into the limelight thanks to a new paper by Michael Clemens of the Centre for Global Development, a think-tank, and Jennifer Hunt of Rutgers University. Mr Borjas has since responded to this critique; their correspondence appears to have proceeded ad infinitum. (A working-paper response to Mr Clemens and Ms Hunts' critique can be found here.)
immigration  wages  Borjas  debates  economist 
june 2017 by HispanicPundit
Blog: Trump outdoing Obama on 'DREAMers,' continuing catch and release
I think, rhetoric aside, that Trump's immigration and border security policies are very much like Barack Obama's, and if Hillary Clinton had been elected president, we would have seen the exact same thing – more DREAMers, more Muslim refugees, and no border wall.

On this issue, President Trump is Hillary Clinton with a jacket and a tie.
immigration  TrumpAdministration 
june 2017 by HispanicPundit
Ancestry and Long-Run Growth Reading Club: Comin, Easterly, and Gong, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
4. Does CEG show low-skilled immigration is bad?  No more than Putterman-Weil did.  In both cases, you need to remember all the results.  Yes, countries inhabited the descendants of more advanced civilizations do better - and you can't change your ancestors.  But CEG, like PW, also detect enormous long-run benefits of geography.  And you can effectively change geography by letting people to move to the parts of the globe most hospitable to prosperity.  Contrary to popular opinion, this is not a great "national sacrifice."  Since migration dramatically increases productivity, migrants enrich themselves by enriching their customers - starting with their new neighbors.
immigration  genetics  caplan 
may 2017 by HispanicPundit
The Civic Cost Of Illegal Immigration | Victor Davis Hanson Private Papers
The Democratic Party welcomes in impoverished immigrants from Latin America and Mexico. It hopes to provide generous social welfare assistance and thereby shepherd new arrivals and their offspring into the salad bowl of victimization and identity politics—and thereby change the electoral map of key states from red to blue.
immigration  hanson  Democrats 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
Is Immigration a Basic Human Right? My Opening Statement, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
My critics often tease me, "Should everyone on Earth be free to immigrate into Bryan's house?"  Their point: Treating immigration as a human right is utopian nonsense.  My reply: There are three competing moral positions on immigration.

Foreigners should be free to live in my house even if I don't consent - a view held by almost no one.
Foreigners should be free to live in my house if I consent - my view.
Foreigners shouldn't be free to live in my house even if I do consent - the standard view I'm criticizing. 
Far from being utopian, saying "Immigration is a human right" is just the moderate, common-sense position that when natives and foreigners voluntarily interact, strangers are morally obliged to leave them alone unless the overall consequences are clearly awful.  Even if the stranger happens to be the government - and the government happens to be popular.
immigration  open-borders  debates  caplan 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
The Truth About Deportations | City Journal
In virtually any other country, the deportation of aliens who have overstayed their visas or who are working in the underground economy might merit a brief mention in the newspaper. Deporting aliens who have committed serious crimes is understood in most nations to be a necessary duty of the state, like sanitation or the licensing of medical professionals. Nobody thinks twice about deporting criminals in these countries, and immigration enforcement is an uncontroversial aspect of national life.
immigration  Canada  city-journal 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
Earnings of Undocumented Immigrants – LaborEcon
First, the age-earnings profile of undocumented workers lies far below that of legal immigrants and of native workers, and is almost perfectly flat during the prime working years. Second, the unadjusted gap in the log hourly wage between undocumented workers and natives is very large (around 40 percent), but half of this gap disappears once the calculation adjusts for differences in observable socioeconomic characteristics, particularly educational attainment. Finally, the adjusted wage of undocumented workers rose rapidly in the past decade. As a result, there was a large decline in the wage penalty associated with undocumented status.
immigration  wages  Borjas 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
How disorderly is Sweden really?
There is also reasonable evidence that immigrants to Sweden are a major reason for the decline in the average quality of Swedish schooling and also Swedish PISA scores. In other contexts, we will be told that such variables are incredibly significant, but in this context the result ends up largely ignored.
immigration  sweden  crime  education  cowen 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
Economist Tino Sanandaji’s book about immigration in Sweden - The Unz Review
Most Swedes have great goodwill and tolerance towards immigrants, and wish that immigration could have done better. Sweden’s experiments with large-scale immigration from the third world to a welfare state has been unique in its scope but have in many respects failed. Sweden’s social problems today is increasingly concentrated in the part of the population has an immigrant background. Foreign-born people account for about 17 percent of the population, and second-generation immigrants, for additional five percent. Foreign-born people make up despite this, 53 percent of them with long prison terms, 54 percent of the unemployed and the group receives 60 per cent of the paid social benefits. 71 percent of the country’s child poverty among households with a foreign background, while 76 percent of the members of criminal gangs have invandrarbakgrund.
immigration  sweden  crime  sailer 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
My Deportation Index: The Drum Critique, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
This is approximate, since the total population of illegal immigrants is a little fuzzy before 2000. But it's close enough. Obama still has a higher removal rate and a lower index rate than any other president, but the winner for the title of Deporter-in-Chief is...Ronald Reagan. Every president since then has been successively more tolerant of a large undocumented population.
immigration  presidency  caplan  drum  Obama  deportations 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
NYT: Don’t worry, immigrants aren’t causing the Swedish crime wave, it’s their sons & grandsons! - The Unz Review
There is a huge debate in Sweden about immigration and crime. And we know from earlier statistics that the foreign-born commit three times as many crimes on average as native-borns. But these riots and crimes in the suburbs, they are related mostly to drugs and gangs. Those people are born and raised in Sweden. It has nothing to do with the recent immigration. It’s the children of migrants and maybe people that came when they were young.
Sweden  immigration  TrumpAdministration  sailer 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
Two gang members in U.S. illegally are accused of kidnapping 3 girls, killing 1 in a satanic ritual - LA Times
"The majority of the MS-13 members we come into contact with are here illegally," Sturdivant said. Attorneys for Alvarez-Flores and Hernandez-Rivera did not immediately return calls Friday night.

Sturdivant said both men admitted their involvement in the abductions and killing after their arrests Monday. An FBI multi-jurisdictional anti-gang task force continues to investigate, and Sturdivant said authorities are seeking other gang members who were possibly involved in the crimes.

MS-13, also called Mara Salvatrucha, is believed to have been founded in Los Angeles in the mid-1980s by immigrants fleeing civil war in El Salvador. It is now a major international criminal enterprise.
LosAngeles  gangs  immigration  LATimes 
march 2017 by HispanicPundit
The Odds of Being Killed by an Immigrant | Scott Adams' Blog
- I’m not allowed to say that my real fear is that if Islam gets a large enough foothold in the United States we will be transitioning from a situation of assimilation to one of eventual conquest because Islam doesn’t like to play second fiddle.
immigration  muslims  TrumpAdministration  Dilbert 
february 2017 by HispanicPundit
Xenophobia and Canada, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
For racism, Avenue Q has it right: while (almost) everyone's a little bit racist, the key word is "little."  How little?  In the United States in recent decades, race has minimal effect on earnings once you correct for obvious measures of worker productivity - and minimal effect on incarceration once you correct for obvious measures of law-breaking.  While these aren't the only possible metrics of racism, they are the main ones people get angry about.  And there's not much there.
racism  judges  crime  jobs  immigration  Canada  caplan 
january 2017 by HispanicPundit
The immigration–unemployment nexus: do education and Protestantism matter? - Marginal REVOLUTION
Using annual data from 1850 to 2010 for Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, New Zealand, and the USA, this paper examines the impact of immigration and the immigrants’ educational and cultural background on unemployment. Instruments for 27 emigrating countries are used to deal with the feedback effects from unemployment to immigration. The results show that educated immigrants, in particular, and immigrants from Protestant countries significantly reduce unemployment, while poorly educated and non-Protestant immigrants enhance unemployment.
immigration  religion  jobs  assimilation  cowen 
january 2017 by HispanicPundit
National Origin as Nurture Effect, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
Now we're ready to calculate the nurture effects of national origin.  There's no harm at the tip top: Non-Americans with advanced degrees look intrinsically no abler than Americans with advanced degrees.  As you move down the educational ladder, however, environmental deprivation goes from moderate (-.20 steps for college grads) to serious (-.57 steps for high school grads, -.67 for less than high school).  And if you think that American-born children of immigrant parents are also somewhat deprived, their parents' estimated environmental deprivation is even worse.
parenting  harris  immigration  caplan 
december 2016 by HispanicPundit
Sanctuary Cities Are Safe, Thanks to Conservatives - Bloomberg View
The ACA as written threatened states with eventual withdrawal of essentially all their Medicaid funding unless they agreed to the extension of the program to millions of new patients.

Roberts analyzed the issue by saying that, under the spending clause of the Constitution, Congress can’t create a funding condition that is unrelated to the original funding purpose and is so coercive that it amounts to a “gun to the head” of the states. Roberts’s doctrine applies with full force to Trump’s threat to pull cities’ existing funding if they remain sanctuaries by declining to cooperate with federal officials to enforce immigration law.
obamacare  supremecourt  immigration  Trump 
december 2016 by HispanicPundit
I’m shocked, shocked to find that the Chinese don’t believe “Diversity Is Our Strength” - The Unz Review
China today is extraordinarily homogenous. It sustains that by remaining almost entirely closed to new entrants except by birth. Unless someone is the child of a Chinese national, no matter how long they live there, how much money they make or tax they pay, it is virtually impossible to become a citizen. Someone who marries a Chinese person can theoretically gain citizenship; in practice few do. As a result, the most populous nation on Earth has only 1,448 naturalised Chinese in total, according to the 2010 census. Even Japan, better known for hostility to immigration, naturalises around 10,000 new citizens each year; in America the figure is some 700,000 (see chart).
China  immigration  sailer 
december 2016 by HispanicPundit
Two Immigrants Debate Immigration - Reason.com
You point out that America has no border restrictions with Puerto Rico, whose construction workers alone could double their wages by buying a "one-way plane ticket that costs a fraction of a week's salary." Yet "two-thirds of Puerto Ricans have chosen not to move" (your emphasis). This same fact can be used to undercut restrictionist claims that looser borders would instantly flood America. Yet you not just fail to note this but repeat it in your response.
immigration  debates  Reason  Borjas 
december 2016 by HispanicPundit
Two Immigrants Debate Immigration - Reason.com
But America's genius is not that it draws the best people but that it draws out the best from people, which is why even the world's "wretched" manage to make something of themselves here. Indeed, the essential thing for "success" is not a college degree but drive, which those with the cojones to uproot themselves and make the difficult schlep to a foreign land have in spades. This process of self-selection has served America—and immigrants—so well that even the restrictionist lobby hasn't questioned it. But you devote a whole chapter to lamenting the forces of "self-selection" that thwart Uncle Sam's efforts to ensure that immigrants who come to America are "exactly the types the country is looking for." Putting more faith in government over markets to properly regulate labor flows isn't very American!
immigration  debates  Reason  borjas 
december 2016 by HispanicPundit
Trump vs. Silicon Valley - The American Interest
And there will be others who think that Silicon Valley has been able to count too easily for too long, on the GOP’s pro-business bonafides, while bankrolling the party’s political and cultural opponents. Herodotus tells a story about a pirate king who would raid the ships of his friends as well as his enemies, because, he said, “he would get more thanks if he gave a friend back what he had taken than if he never took it at all.” Doubtless some GOP strategists will advise their bosses the same way: the Valley might appreciate us more if they feared us a bit more. Or at least took us less for granted.
Trump  immigration  H1-B  AmericanInterest 
december 2016 by HispanicPundit
Trump’s ads were about the issues - The Unz Review
… It seemed like every ad that Clinton and her allies released in the ensuing months was simply a variation on the theme that Donald Trump is a big jerk. In fact, as recently as Sunday, Clinton’s campaign released a video titled “10 minutes of Donald Trump demeaning, objectifying, and insulting women.”

Whereas Trump’s campaign released dead-simple, exceedingly traditional ads related to Big Issues. In Trump’s first TV commercial of the general election, a narrator declared that “In Hillary Clinton’s America, the system stays rigged against Americans. Syrian refugees flood in. Illegal immigrants convicted of committing crimes get to stay, collecting Social Security benefits, skipping the line….”
Trump  Election2016  immigration 
november 2016 by HispanicPundit
A different portrait of Jamiel Shaw II | L.A. NOW | Los Angeles Times
e had friends in the Rollin' 20s, part of the deadly Bloods gang, and was known by the nickname Deuces Wild.  When he was shot and killed, he was wearing a red belt  with black skulls and the number 20 associated with the gang. Could this be the very same Jamiel Shaw II,  the innocent high school athlete who was killed by an undocumented immigrant and alleged gang member in what many believe was a racially motivated shooting?
gangs  LosAngeles  race  immigration 
november 2016 by HispanicPundit
Democrats Used to Worry About Immigration Too. What Happened? - Bloomberg View
When the Chicago Council began asking that question in 1998, Democrats saw large-scale immigration no differently from Republicans. After 2002, that started to change, as the percentage of Democratic respondents expressing concern has steadily declined.

The same trend applies to views on illegal immigration, with Democrats showing markedly less concern over the last two decades. Separate Pew Research Center data show a similar evolution.
immigration  Democrats  bloomberg 
november 2016 by HispanicPundit
CONVERSABLE ECONOMIST: Is the Mediterranean the New Rio Grande?
Hanson and McIntosh argue that the differences in birthrates and economic prospects, along with existing historical and political ties, point toward the possibility of an ongoing and very large surge in migration from the Middle East and Africa to Europe in the decades ahead. Indeed, my guess is that their estimates could turn out to understate the pressures for migration to Europe. Access to information about how and when to migrate, and the ability to send money to others back in the source country, have dramatically increased. And while population growth rates have slowed in much of the world, the exceptions are mostly in Africa and the Middle East.
immigration  Mexico  muslims  Europe  timtaylor 
november 2016 by HispanicPundit
Slate: “Criminal Allegations in Alicia Machado’s Past Likely Wouldn’t Preclude Citizenship, Expert Says” - The Unz Review
But she appears to have filled in a Miami-Dade County official form two years ago in 2014 listing her child with the last name not of the man she had claimed was the father, but with the last name “Alvarez” of the the imprisoned cartel hitman.
Trump  immigration  sailer 
october 2016 by HispanicPundit
The Real Reason So Many Americans Oppose Immigration - Bloomberg View
You might not be amazed that nativists would tend not to like members of different racial groups. But there’s a kicker: Once the data are disaggregated, it emerges that essentially all of the movement came from negative attitudes toward Hispanics. Attitudes toward Asians and blacks didn’t correlate with views about immigration.
immigration  politics  bloomberg 
september 2016 by HispanicPundit
Norway Builds a Fence - The American Interest
What the Europeans haven’t yet remembered—and what a lot of well intentioned Americans also seem to be forgetting—is that the only really effective way to deal with refugee problems is to deal with their causes. As Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya, Somalia and Yemen slide into a state of quasi-permanent anarchy, a wave of desperate refugees and migrants sets off for the security and prosperity of Europe. If the West can’t or won’t help locals stabilize these countries, the refugee flow will inevitably reach a level at which even the most liberal Western politicians can no longer keep the doors open.
immigration  refugees  Europe  AmericanInterest 
august 2016 by HispanicPundit
The Immigration/Labor Demand Elasticity Puzzle, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty
3. Native and foreign labor are distinct goods, so an increase in the supply of immigrant labor barely increases supply in the labor markets where most natives actually work.  In fact, native and foreign labor are generally complementary goods, so when the supply of immigration goes up, so does the demand for most native workers.  Implausible?  Check out the weighty evidence in its favor.
labor  minimum-wage  Immigration  caplan 
august 2016 by HispanicPundit
The Mexico Way
After all, the Harvard admissions office doesn’t feel satisfied if they hold their rapist admission rate down to the national average. America is the Harvard of immigrant destination countries, so why should it import problem people?

But, to the press, that question seems inappropriate to ask. America isn’t worthy of high standards like Harvard is. Instead, the 7 billion citizens of foreign countries should be assumed to have a civil right, under the Zeroth Amendment to the Constitution, to move to America whenever they feel like it—especially if a majority of Americans don’t want them here.
Trump  Immigration  Sailer  TikiMag 
july 2016 by HispanicPundit
The Myth of Proposition 187
More than anything else, what doomed the GOP in California was a combination of the end of the Cold War, which had paid for lots of Republican-voting military-industrial complex employees in California, and the big exodus of Republican whites to states with cheaper housing. (The GOP did well in smaller inland West states with cheaper housing due to the influx of Republican ex-Californians.)
Prop187  california  Sailer  immigration  hispanics 
july 2016 by HispanicPundit
Why Northern California Beat Southern California
Unlike the Bay Area, which pursued a “high wage specialization strategy,” Los Angeles, in the interest of social justice, deliberately focused on lower- and middle-tier economic sectors. “Los Angeles’s leaders generated a low-road narrative for themselves, while Bay Area leadership coalesced around a high-road vision for their region,” they write. Such decisions have consequences, many of which are demographic. Had Los Angeles followed the same path as San Francisco, Southern California would have attracted far fewer working-class Latinos. The authors don’t directly state this, but it’s a clear implication of their findings. It’s logical to conclude that any region looking to replicate San Francisco’s success should take an exclusively high-end focus—social justice be damned. …
immigration  california  sailer  hispanics 
july 2016 by HispanicPundit
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