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The Seattle Plane Crash: Lessons and Questions - The Atlantic Aug 2018
"Thus sane approaches to security have been careful to set the goal of reducing risks, rather than eliminating them. "
TheAtlantic  aviation  security  risk  James-Fallows 
3 hours ago by pierredv
4 Hazards to Your Hearing that You Should Avoid During Your Week
With so many sounds around us in a day, it can sometimes be easy to forget the risk that we are posing to our hearing abilities.
hearing  risk  hazard 
2 days ago by Adventure_Web
BUS11 - Operation FileMaker: From Risk to Perfe... | FileMaker Community
Susan Fennema (Beyond the Chaos, LLC) Martha Zink (Soliant Consulting, Inc.)Session Description If FileMaker development became a board game, this would
Risk  FileMaker  SusanFennema  Martha_Zink  Games 
8 days ago by TomasMartinez
Russell Davies: Surprise averse
A common question in the early days of GDS (and still a common question in lots of settings) was 'but aren't politicians very risk averse? how do you get to do risky new things?'
Francis Maude always had a good answer to that. 'We're not risk averse, we're surprise averse'.
campaignplanning  risk  russelldavies  politics  planning 
8 days ago by JohnDrake
An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress
Despite the uncertainty in future climate-change impacts, it is often assumed that humans would be able to adapt to any possible warming. Here we argue that heat stress imposes a robust upper limit to such adaptation. Peak heat stress, quantified by the wet-bulb temperature TW, is surprisingly similar across diverse climates today. TW never exceeds 31 °C. Any exceedence of 35 °C for extended periods should induce hyperthermia in humans and other mammals, as dissipation of metabolic heat becomes impossible. While this never happens now, it would begin to occur with global-mean warming of about 7 °C, calling the habitability of some regions into question. With 11–12 °C warming, such regions would spread to encompass the majority of the human population as currently distributed. Eventual warmings of 12 °C are possible from fossil fuel burning. One implication is that recent estimates of the costs of unmitigated climate change are too low unless the range of possible warming can somehow be narrowed. Heat stress also may help explain trends in the mammalian fossil record.

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene: http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2018/07/31/1810141115
We explore the risk that self-reinforcing feedbacks could push the Earth System toward a planetary threshold that, if crossed, could prevent stabilization of the climate at intermediate temperature rises and cause continued warming on a “Hothouse Earth” pathway even as human emissions are reduced. Crossing the threshold would lead to a much higher global average temperature than any interglacial in the past 1.2 million years and to sea levels significantly higher than at any time in the Holocene. We examine the evidence that such a threshold might exist and where it might be.
study  org:nat  environment  climate-change  humanity  existence  risk  futurism  estimate  physics  thermo  prediction  temperature  nature  walls  civilization  flexibility  rigidity  embodied  multi  manifolds  plots  equilibrium  phase-transition  oscillation  comparison  complex-systems  earth 
9 days ago by nhaliday
Dr. Donna Thomas Rodgers GIF - Find & Share on GIPHY
GIF gif, cars, leader, app smash, turn around doctor, turn around effect, turn around, dr. donna, leadership, turn around tip, dr. donna thomas rodgers, turn around risk, lider, classic cars, leaders, car ride, shut up and drive, real leaders wear pink, real leadership, real leaders, the turn around doctor, gif stickers, dr. donna thomas - rodgers, apply today, facetography, client selection, real leader, the turn around effect, ride along, ride along 2, the turn around, ride with me, my 64, driving miss daisey, classic vehicles, rollin down the street Giphy https://ift.tt/2nocIL1 ______ http://goo.gl/3oHDPV
gif  cars  leader  app  smash  turn  around  doctor  effect  dr.  donna  leadership  tip  thomas  rodgers  risk  lider  classic  leaders  car 
10 days ago by architektura
Risk Management
The risk identification and mitigation assessment worksheets are maintained as governance artifacts and are kept up-to-date in Phase G (Implementation Governance) where risk monitoring is conducted.

Catastrophic = infers critical financial loss that could result in bankruptcy of the organization.
Critical = infers serious financial loss in more than one line of business leading to a loss in productivity and no return on investment on the IT investment.
Marginal = infers a minor financial loss in a line of business and a reduced return on investment on the IT investment.
Negligible = infers a minimal impact on a line of business' ability to deliver services and/or products.

Frequent = Likely to occur very often and/or continuously.
Likely = Occurs several times over the course of a transformation cycle.
Occasional = Occurs sporadically.
Seldom = Remotely possible and would probably occur not more than once in the course of a transformation cycle.
Unlikely = Will probably not occur during the course of a transformation cycle.

Extremely High Risk (E) =  The transformation effort will most likely fail with severe consequences.
High Risk (H) = Significant failure of parts of the transformation effort resulting in certain goals not being achieved.
Moderate Risk (M) = Noticeable failure of parts of the transformation effort threatening the success of certain goals.
Low Risk (L) = Certain goals will not be wholly successful.
togaf  risk  management 
11 days ago by bharrison

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