org:foreign   82

« earlier    

On the measuring and mis-measuring of Chinese growth | VOX, CEPR’s Policy Portal
Unofficial indicators of Chinese GDP often suggest that Beijing’s growth figures are exaggerated. This column uses nighttime light as a proxy to estimate Chinese GDP growth. Since 2012, the authors’ estimate is never appreciably lower, and is in many years higher, than the GDP growth rate reported in the official statistics. While not ruling out the risk of future turmoil, the analysis presents few immediate indications that Chinese growth is being systematically overestimated.

https://asia.nikkei.com/magazine/20170831/Politics-Economy/Chinese-provinces-heed-Xi-s-calls-for-accurate-GDP-data
org:ngo  econotariat  study  summary  economics  growth-econ  econometrics  econ-metrics  measurement  broad-econ  china  asia  sinosphere  the-world-is-just-atoms  energy-resources  trends  correlation  wonkish  realness  article  multi  news  org:foreign  n-factor  corruption  crooked  wealth  visuo  electromag  sky  space 
july 2017 by nhaliday
Information Processing: Genetic variation in Han Chinese population
Largest component of genetic variation is a N-S cline (phenotypic N-S gradient discussed here). Variance accounted for by second (E-W) PC vector is much smaller and the Han population is fairly homogeneous in genetic terms: ...while we revealed East-to-West structure among the Han Chinese, the signal is relatively weak and very little structure is discernible beyond the second PC (p.24).

Neandertal ancestry does not vary significantly across provinces, consistent with admixture prior to the dispersal of modern Han Chinese.

http://infoproc.blogspot.com/2014/01/china-1793.html
My fellow officers informed me, that while the negotiation was going on, the ships were constantly crowded with all kinds of refreshments, and that when they were first boarded by the Chinese they received every attention from them that could be shown; and that the presents received by the different officers belonging to the embassy, were of immense value. That the natives of this part of China were of different complexions and manners from those in and near Canton; their colour being nearly white; and in their manners were much more free and candid; and that they were of a larger stature, and more athletic than the southern Chinese—they were much more sociable, and not so particular respecting their women being seen by the men. And were even fond of receiving the officers into their houses, when on shore, provided it could be done without the knowledge of the mandarins.

http://infoproc.blogspot.com/2014/06/large-scale-psychological-differences.html
The study below discusses a psychological/cognitive/personality gradient between N and S China, possibly driven by a history of wheat vs rice cultivation.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_and_southern_China
http://shanghaiist.com/2015/07/01/average-heights-men-women.php
https://www.quora.com/Why-are-Northern-Chinese-people-generally-taller-than-Southern-Chinese

https://gnxp.nofe.me/2017/08/01/the-great-genetic-map-of-china/
hsu  scitariat  commentary  study  summary  pic  maps  china  asia  sinosphere  things  pop-structure  multi  individualism-collectivism  extra-introversion  old-anglo  history  early-modern  usa  ethnography  n-factor  exploratory  shift  archaics  gene-flow  news  org:foreign  embodied  data  q-n-a  qra  wiki  reference  stereotypes  matrix-factorization  open-closed  alien-character  agriculture  gnxp  medieval  gavisti  sapiens  fluid  leviathan  decentralized  cultural-dynamics  anthropology  courage 
july 2017 by nhaliday
The Bridge: 数字化 – 网络化 – 智能化: China’s Quest for an AI Revolution in Warfare
The PLA’s organizational tendencies could render it more inclined to take full advantage of the disruptive potential of artificial intelligence, without constraints due to concerns about keeping humans ‘in the loop.’ In its command culture, the PLA has tended to consolidate and centralize authorities at higher levels, remaining reluctant to delegate decision-making downward. The introduction of information technology has exacerbated the tendency of PLA commanders to micromanage subordinates through a practice known as “skip-echelon command” (越级指挥) that enables the circumvention of command bureaucracy to influence units and weapons systems at even a tactical level.[xxviii] This practice can be symptomatic of a culture of distrust and bureaucratic immaturity. The PLA has confronted and started to progress in mitigating its underlying human resource challenges, recruiting increasingly educated officers and enlisted personnel, while seeking to modernize and enhance political and ideological work aimed to ensure loyalty to the Chinese Communist Party. However, the employment of artificial intelligence could appeal to the PLA as a way to circumvent and work around those persistent issues. In the long term, the intersection of the PLA’s focus on ‘scientific’ approaches to warfare with the preference to consolidate and centralize decision-making could cause the PLA’s leadership to rely more upon artificial intelligence, rather than human judgment.
news  org:mag  org:foreign  trends  china  asia  sinosphere  war  meta:war  military  defense  strategy  current-events  ai  automation  technology  foreign-policy  realpolitik  expansionism  innovation  individualism-collectivism  values  prediction  deepgoog  games  n-factor  human-ml  alien-character  risk  ai-control 
june 2017 by nhaliday
My review of Robert Gordon's *Rise and Fall of American Growth* - Marginal REVOLUTION
And here is the “oops” aspect of the book:

What Gordon neglects to mention, however, is that he is also the author of a 2003 Brookings essay titled “Exploding Productivity Growth,” in which he optimistically predicted that productivity in the United States would grow by 2.2 to 2.8 percent for the next two decades, most likely averaging 2.5 percent a year; he even suggested that a three percent rate was possible.

…Gordon offers a brief history of the evolution of his views on productivity. Yet he does not mention the 2003 essay, nor does he explain why he has changed his mind so dramatically. He also fails to cite other proponents of the stagnation thesis, even though…their work predates his book.
econotariat  marginal-rev  books  review  critique  commentary  news  org:mag  org:foreign  economics  growth-econ  econ-productivity  stagnation  malaise  zeitgeist  rot  regularizer  speedometer  innovation  🎩 
june 2017 by nhaliday
How China Was Ruled - The American Interest
Given China’s relative weakness since the Opium War (1839–42), such analysts have been able to cite modern history as evidence to support their view, which has long been the conventional wisdom. This view has been disputed in recent years, notably by A. Iain Johnston’s Cultural Realism (1995). Johnston demonstrates that China’s military classics take a parabellum or hard realpolitik view of security. In his words, they “accept that warfare and conflict are relatively constant features of interstate affairs, that conflict with an enemy tends towards zero-sum stakes, and consequently that violence is a highly efficacious means for dealing with conflict.” Johnston’s path-breaking work prompted a new generation of Chinese scholars of international relations to comb through China’s classics to prove him wrong. This motivation is still evident: Huiyun Feng claims in Chinese Strategic Culture and Foreign Policy Decision-Making (2007) that, “according to the ancient Chinese philosophy of Confucianism, the Chinese are a people who love peace and harmony.”

The problem is that the actual Chinese tradition is better characterized by Legalism than by Confucianism. Legalism is the nemesis of Confucianism, for it is single-mindedly concerned with the maximization of state power through strict regulations and cruel punishments in domestic rule and territorial expansion in external relations. But many Chinese mistake Confucianism as the single Chinese tradition because Chinese rulers ingeniously followed what Chinese scholar Hsiao Kung-chuan called “Legalism with a Confucian façade.”22.
news  org:mag  org:foreign  history  iron-age  medieval  early-modern  mostly-modern  china  asia  sinosphere  great-powers  government  polisci  leviathan  reflection  foreign-policy  realpolitik  expansionism  war  martial  the-bones  confucian  peace-violence  flux-stasis  orient  cynicism-idealism  nietzschean  civilization  conquest-empire  thucydides 
may 2017 by nhaliday

« earlier    

related tags

-_-  2016-election  2017  :/  accelerationism  africa  age-generation  agriculture  ai-control  ai  albion  alien-character  allodium  analogy  analysis  analytical-holistic  anglo  anglosphere  announcement  anomie  anthropology  antidemos  aphorism  archaics  aristos  arms  article  asia  assimilation  atmosphere  authoritarianism  automation  backup  barons  being-right  big-peeps  big-picture  biophysical-econ  biotech  books  borjas  brexit  britain  broad-econ  business  canada  charity  chart  chemistry  china  christianity  civic  civil-liberty  civilization  class-warfare  class  clown-world  coalitions  cocktail  cohesion  cold-war  commentary  communism  comparison  competition  complement-substitute  confucian  conquest-empire  contradiction  contrarianism  corporation  correlation  corruption  cost-benefit  counter-revolution  courage  crime  critique  crooked  cultural-dynamics  culture-war  culture  current-events  cycles  cynicism-idealism  data  debate  decentralized  deep-materialism  deepgoog  defense  definite-planning  degrees-of-freedom  democracy  demographic-transition  demographics  deterrence  developing-world  diaspora  dirty-hands  discipline  discrimination  discussion  diversity  douthatish  drama  duty  dynamic  dysgenics  early-modern  eastern-europe  econ-metrics  econ-productivity  econometrics  economics  econotariat  education  efficiency  egalitarianism-hierarchy  elections  electromag  elite  embodied  energy-resources  enlightenment-renaissance-restoration-reformation  environment  envy  eric-kaufmann  error  essay  ethics  ethnocentrism  ethnography  eu  europe  exit-voice  expansionism  exploratory  expression-survival  extra-introversion  fertility  fighting  finance  fluid  flux-stasis  foreign-lang  foreign-policy  frontier  futurism  gallic  games  gavisti  gender-diff  gender  gene-flow  general-survey  geoengineering  geography  geometry  geopolitics  germanic  gilens-page  gnon  gnosis-logos  gnxp  government  great-powers  growth-econ  haidt  hard-tech  hari-seldon  heavy-industry  heterodox  higher-ed  history  hmm  hn  homo-hetero  honor  houellebecq  housing  hsu  human-capital  human-ml  huntington  hypocrisy  identity-politics  ideology  idk  impetus  incentives  india  individualism-collectivism  infrastructure  innovation  insight  institutions  integrity  intel  internet  intervention  iq  iran  iraq-syria  iron-age  islam  israel  japan  jargon  journos-pundits  judaism  korea  kumbaya-kult  labor  land  language  law  leaks  lee-kuan-yew  left-wing  legacy  let-me-see  letters  leviathan  links  list  literature  lived-experience  lmao  lol  long-short-run  longform  lurid  madisonian  malaise  managerial-state  maps  marginal-rev  martial  math  matrix-factorization  measurement  media  medieval  mediterranean  mena  meta:prediction  meta:war  microfoundations  midwest  migrant-crisis  migration  military  minimum-viable  modernity  moloch  monetary-fiscal  money  morality  mostly-modern  multi  music  n-factor  nascent-state  nationalism-globalism  neocons  new-religion  news  nietzschean  nihil  nl-and-so-can-you  nordic  nuclear  obama  occident  oceans  offense-defense  old-anglo  open-closed  optimate  optimism  order-disorder  org:anglo  org:biz  org:bv  org:data  org:davos  org:edu  org:euro  org:fin  org:lite  org:local  org:mag  org:nat  org:ngo  org:popup  org:rec  org:sci  orient  oscillation  paleocon  parable  parenting  path-dependence  patho-altruism  pdf  peace-violence  people  pessimism  philosophy  pic  polarization  policy  polis  polisci  political-econ  politics  poll  pop-diff  pop-structure  popsci  population  populism  power  prediction  profile  propaganda  protestant-catholic  prudence  pseudoe  psychology  psychometrics  putnam-like  q-n-a  qra  quantum-info  quantum  quiz  quotes  race  ranking  realness  realpolitik  reason  reference  reflection  regularizer  religion  responsibility  review  rhetoric  right-wing  risk  robotics  rock  rot  russia  s:*  sapiens  scale  science  scitariat  sex  shift  sinosphere  sky  social-science  social-structure  social  society  sociology  space  speculation  speed  speedometer  spengler  stagnation  statesmen  status  stereotypes  stories  strategy  stream  study  stylized-facts  subculture  success  summary  technocracy  technology  terrorism  tetlock  the-bones  the-classics  the-great-west-whale  the-world-is-just-atoms  theos  thiel  things  thucydides  time  top-n  track-record  trade  tradeoffs  tradition  travel  trends  trivia  trump  turchin  twitter  unaffiliated  uniqueness  universalism-particularism  urban-rural  urban  usa  utopia-dystopia  values  vampire-squid  video  visualization  visuo  volo-avolo  vulgar  war  wealth-of-nations  wealth  westminster  whiggish-hegelian  wiki  wisdom  within-group  wonkish  world-war  world  wtf  zeitgeist  zero-positive-sum  🌞  🎩 

Copy this bookmark:



description:


tags: