futurism   8139

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Presentation: Ten Year Futures — Benedict Evans
comment: As Benedict says (paraphrasing), first we talk about the platform, then we talk about building on top of the platform, and then the predicted future all seems rather boring (but no fears: an exciting new future looms just over the horizon).
benediktevans  future  futurism 
4 days ago by WBedutech
What If You Could See What's Coming? | Psychology Today
Interview with Joshua Cooper Ramo. His new book, The Seventh Sense: Power, Fortune, and Survival in the Age of Networks
futurism  Technology  web 
5 days ago by magnusc
An Interview with David Brin - MarketShadows
Think about how this fits the model of an oligarchic coup. The New Lords will never be able to take complete control so long as fact-people like journalists, teachers, economists, doctors, the FBI… and yes, scientists… can stand in their way saying, “the facts don’t agree with you.”
david.brin  grim.meathook.future  cyberpunk  science.fiction  futurism 
5 days ago by tonious
Artificial intelligence: ‘Homo sapiens will be split into a handful of gods and the rest of us’ | Business | The Guardian
A new report suggests that the marriage of AI and robotics could replace so many jobs that the era of mass employment could come to an end If you wanted relief from stories about tyre factories and steel plants closing, you could try relaxing with a new 300-page report from Bank of Ame
abundance  additivism  ai  economics  employment  evolution  futurism  posthumanism  religion  robotics  robotos  robots  singularity  transhumanism  work  stream 
14 days ago by therourke
The Ridiculous Amount of Energy It Takes to Run Bitcoin - IEEE Spectrum
Bitcoin “miners” are electromagnetic alchemists, effectively turning megawatt-hours of electricity into the world’s fastest-growing currency.
bitcoin  blockchain  energy  environment  futurism  power  stream 
14 days ago by therourke
In Search of Indian Science Fiction: A Conversation with Anil Menon - BORNE CENTRAL
... Western SF – has had a reasonably good track-record at predicting “the” future. ... My question is this: would it have predicted anything like Mohammed Yunus’ microlending scheme?... Could 50s, 60s 70s, 80s and 90s SF have really imagined a Mohammed Yunus?
futurism  scifi 
15 days ago by unthinkingly
Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People
"Note especially that the constructs we use in AI are fairly opaque after training. They don't work in the way that the superintelligence scenario needs them to work. There's no place to recursively tweak to make them "better", short of retraining on even more data."
ai  machinelearning  futurism 
20 days ago by mike
The Manifesto | The Dark Mountain Project
If we are indeed teetering on the edge of a massive change in how we live, in how human society itself is constructed, and in how we relate to the rest of the world, then we were led to this point by the stories we have told ourselves — above all, by the story of civilisation.

This story has many variants, religious and secular, scientific, economic and mystic. But all tell of humanity’s original transcendence of its animal beginnings, our growing mastery over a ‘nature’ to which we no longer belong, and the glorious future of plenty and prosperity which will follow when this mastery is complete. It is the story of human centrality, of a species destined to be lord of all it surveys, unconfined by the limits that apply to other, lesser creatures.

What makes this story so dangerous is that, for the most part, we have forgotten that it is a story. It has been told so many times by those who see themselves as rationalists, even scientists; heirs to the Enlightenment’s legacy — a legacy which includes the denial of the role of stories in making the world.
civilization  futurism  history  climate  anthropocene 
22 days ago by ayjay
Uncivilisation: the Dark Mountain Manifesto (response by John Gray)
The notion that the conflicts of history have been left behind is truly apocalyptic, and Kingsnorth and Hine are right to target business-as-usual philosophies of progress. When they posit a cleansing catastrophe, however, they, too, succumb to apocalyptic thinking. How can anyone imagine that the dream-driven human animal will suddenly become sane when its environment starts disintegrating? In their own catastrophist fashion, the authors have swallowed the progressive fairy tale that animates the civilisation they reject.

A change of sensibility in the arts would be highly desirable. The new perspective that is needed, however, is the opposite of apocalyptic. Neither Conrad nor Ballard believed that catastrophe could alter the terms on which human beings live in the world. Both writers were unsparing critics of civilisation, but they never imagined there was a superior alternative. Each had witnessed for himself what the alternative means in practice.

Rightly, Kingsnorth and Hine insist that our present environmental difficulties are not solvable problems, but are inseparable from our current way of living. When confronted with problems that are insoluble, however, the most useful response is not to await disaster in the hope that the difficulties will magically disappear. It is to do whatever can be done, knowing that it will not amount to much. Stoical acceptance of this kind is practically unthinkable at present - an age when emotional self-expression is valued more than anything else. Still, stoicism will be needed if civilised life is to survive an environmental crisis that cannot now be avoided. Walking on lava requires a cool head, not one filled with fiery dreams.
futurism  history  climate  anthropocene 
22 days ago by ayjay

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