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Portrait of a Campaign
Great writeup of what organizing looks like on the ground as we head in to the midterms.
politics  election  usa  democrats 
yesterday by waltz
More Evidence for the Real Collusion in the 2016 Election Comes Out | Hillary Clinton | spygate | Perkins Coie
When somebody high up in either the White House or the Department of Justice (DOJ) is ready to bring out more evidence exposing the #SpyGate plot, Solomon is the reporter who is being brought in and shown the evidence so he can break the news.
hillary  election  spyGate  trump  antiTrump  democrats 
2 days ago by Jswindle
Ending the Nominations Blockade - WSJ
Democrats file cloture on every nominee, which kicks off 30 hours of debate even if no Senator is opposed. They figure if they can’t defeat nominees they can delay and consume valuable time. Democrats have forced 117 cloture votes—versus 12 in Barack Obama’s first two years and four in George W. Bush’s.
congress  Democrats  judges  WSJ 
4 days ago by HispanicPundit
The Color of Economic Anxiety | Current Affairs
White people of all genders and classes voted for Trump at about the same rates as they voted for Romney, McCain, and George W. Bush, and both white and Republican voter turnout stayed fairly steady between 2012 and 2016. More significant was the critical mass of Democrats who defected from the party or didn’t vote at all in the battleground states the Democratic Party needed most. The rate of this decline among Democrats in key swing states was larger than the increase of Republicans who brought Trump to victory. And in some states, the drop was unprecedented.
democrats  economics  trump  sense 
4 days ago by yorksranter
Idle Words—Portrait of a Campaign
Maciej Cegłowski on the upcoming US midterms
election  politics  democrats  america 
6 days ago by jhealy
Portrait of a Campaign
Great Slate organizer talks about his view of Democrats and campaign finance
democrats  politics  campaignfinance  greatslate 
6 days ago by nelson
Idle Words—Portrait of a Campaign
With a month to go before the midterms, there are more than a dozen districts where a progressive woman is running for office as a first-time candidate against an absentee Republican incumbent, and has polling in hand showing her able to win outright if she can reach independent voters with a short statement along these lines:
politics  election  democrats 
6 days ago by Jswindle
The Radical Democrats of the Senate Judiciary Committee | kavanaugh | Socialists | left
one studies the backgrounds of these senators, however, their outrageous behavior becomes less of a mystery. All of these senators are—at least to some degree—socialists.

Several have connections to communist or Islamist front groups. At least three members are proteges of wealthy stealth socialist Steve Phillips, a former supporter of the pro-China League of Revolutionary Struggle. Several also have connections to supporters of hostile foreign powers.
democrats  socialism  corruption  communism 
7 days ago by Jswindle
Kanye's Not Alone: Blacks Are Deserting the Dems | Roger L. Simon
about polls, twelve points in one year is significant.  This is especially true (and surprising) considering the constant drum beat from the press that Trump is a racist somewhere south of George Wallace.

Somebody isn't buying it -- and it's not just Kanye West. If this number grows just a little bit, the Democratic Party is in deep trouble.  The party relies for its electoral power on overwhelming support from African-Americans, a dependency in itself inherently racist and suffused with reactionary identity politics.  Without the black vote, the Dems might as well rename themselves the Celluloid Party and run Hollywood agents for mayor of Malibu.  It'll be their best chance for success.
racism  kanye  walkaway  democrats  blacks 
7 days ago by Jswindle
The primary motivator for Republicans is "angry Democrats"
Dems are concerned that a conservative supreme court would overturn Roe v Wade, especially in light of the latest appointment of Judge Brett Kavanaugh. Republicans argue that Dems are overly concerned because Kavanaugh believes in stare decisis, and indeed, Kavanaugh has honestly defended his record. In fact, Susan Collins speech on why she's voting for Kavanaugh did an even better job than he did for himself, citing many more cases where the Judge's adherence to precedent was almost universally demonstrated.

But in so doing, she is "hiding in plain sight" the fact that it doesn't matter.

Putting this into context, Collins made specific reference to Kavanaugh's frequent support of precedent, and uses the "Planned Parenthood v. Casey" decision as an example of such. Most people don't really know what that is, so it went virtually unnoticed by analysts and pundits. Or, probably more accurately, people think it's too "in the weeds" to raise in sound-byte-driven TV/radio discourse. But strategists know the nuance. To the point: The justices said that their ruling in favor of Casey does not negate Roe, which is decided law. And THAT'S the extent that people give attention to it (if even that). What most people don't realize is what the ruling permitted: States now have greater rights to impose increasingly stricter limitations on ACCESS to abortions, such as onerous building codes, hospital admitting privileges, and so on.

To fully understand this, see this segment from John Oliver:
Also, this Vox podcast overview comparing Roe vis-a-vis Casey:

To be clear, this gives Republicans a two-pronged strategy on abortion: By NOT overturning Roe, they can keep the Red Herring alive, distracting both Dems and the rank-and-file conservatives focused on the topic. And while everyone is distracted in that direction, rulings like Casey permit new restrictions that chip away at access, all but obviating Roe's efficacy in the end.

They are able to do this by stuffing the federal courts with an ever increasing cohort of conservative justices that will allow greater and greater restrictions on access. To wit: Trump has appointed more judges at the federal level than any recent presidents before him, which he was able to do because the Republicans wouldn't confirm most of Obama's appointments during his tenure--or Clinton for that matter. By the time Obama was president, the Dems were so frustrated by Republicans' "just say no" strategy to almost every kind of legislation, they had no choice but to invoke the "nuclear option" by changing the confirmation rules to requiring only 50 votes in the Senate from the prior 60 votes, but ONLY for federal judges, not for Supreme Court justices. Of course, by the time the Republicans came to power, they finished the job by also requiring 50 votes for Supreme Court judges.

Each time Dems would scream and yell about this, conservatives would get even more motivated.

This two-pronged approach (obstruct, but then blame Dems) has been utilized by Republicans across a great number of issues, from topics like the government's right to "regulate" to free speech laws, to civil rights, to guns, and religious freedom. And with Kavanaugh now confirmed, they are effectively able to get their way, not through new (or existing) legislation (which is all but crippled now), but by using the courts to reinterpret existing legislation (for or against). They no longer need to worry about stare decisis anymore--they can correctly and practically avoid overturning Supreme Court decisions for any case that comes before them by instead "permitting" the desired outcome, by stating that the action does not overturn presedent. The Casey ruling is a primary example of this, as was Citizens United, along with others.

While some scholars have observed this (as discussed in wonky political podcasts like Politico and Vox), there are no leaders within the left (or moderate right) that call attention to it. (And frankly, if they did, to what end? It's too wonky to garner public engagement.) With leaders on the left dizzy and confused about how the country is reacting to all this, they're sticking to the old playbook of motivating opposition by stirring anger and resistance. And as they continually remind left-leaning activists about "issues" (like Roe), poll after poll shows it isn't working. In fact, it's playing right into the Republicans playbook. Unlike Dems, Republicans don't need to worry about Roe (because of rulings like Casey), nor do they need to worry about legislation, per se. Until they gain full(er) control of congress, they can sit idle, relying on courts to achieve their issues-based agenda through re-interpretations of law and the Constitution. As they do so, they may also be winning the culture wars by letting Dems express outrage.

Let me be crystal clear about how Republicans' job just got a whole lot easier: The new Trump Republicans are no longer motivated by issues, but by Dems being angry ABOUT issues. You don't need to inform your constituents, since we're now in a post-truth era. You simply do anything -- the more extreme and outrageous, the better -- because that will anger Dems, which will motivate Republican voters.

Coming full circle, when Collins said that Kavanaugh supports legal precedent, and citing Casey as an example, she is factually correct--Roe is not in trouble, and Judge Kavanaugh respects precedent. And while everyone's focused on that, she's making a very public statement to Republicans that their strategy is working.
Politics  Republicans  Democrats 
7 days ago by argv01

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