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John Carmack on Idea Generation
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.
johncarmack  blackswan  Inspiration  blogs  ideas  negativefeedback 
october 2018 by ianchanning
"Be a fool in the right places."

Love this line. Not because it's but because, gene…
VCadvice  blackswan  selfhelp  from twitter
may 2018 by callumflack
Artificial intelligence could hardwire sexism into our future. Unless we stop it | World Economic Forum
Studies show that AI and machine learning not only reflect contemporary human biases, but amplify them
ai  sexism  publicpolicy  government  blackswan 
december 2017 by automationeye
just about died laughing reading this review on 😂
blackswan  from twitter_favs
september 2017 by ejl
Crash: how computers are setting us up for disaster | Tim Harford | Technology | The Guardian
This problem has a name: the paradox of automation. It applies in a wide variety of contexts, from the operators of nuclear power stations to the crew of cruise ships, from the simple fact that we can no longer remember phone numbers because we have them all stored in our mobile phones, to the way we now struggle with mental arithmetic because we are surrounded by electronic calculators. The better the automatic systems, the more out-of-practice human operators will be, and the more extreme the situations they will have to face. The psychologist James Reason, author of Human Error, wrote: “Manual control is a highly skilled activity, and skills need to be practised continuously in order to maintain them. Yet an automatic control system that fails only rarely denies operators the opportunity for practising these basic control skills … when manual takeover is necessary something has usually gone wrong; this means that operators need to be more rather than less skilled in order to cope with these atypical conditions.”

The paradox of automation, then, has three strands to it. First, automatic systems accommodate incompetence by being easy to operate and by automatically correcting mistakes. Because of this, an inexpert operator can function for a long time before his lack of skill becomes apparent – his incompetence is a hidden weakness that can persist almost indefinitely. Second, even if operators are expert, automatic systems erode their skills by removing the need for practice. Third, automatic systems tend to fail either in unusual situations or in ways that produce unusual situations, requiring a particularly skilful response. A more capable and reliable automatic system makes the situation worse.

Earl Wiener, a cult figure in aviation safety, coined what is known as Wiener’s Laws of aviation and human error. One of them was:“Digital devices tune out small errors while creating opportunities for large errors.” We might rephrase it as: “Automation will routinely tidy up ordinary messes, but occasionally create an extraordinary mess.” It is an insight that applies far beyond aviation. (black swan)
technology  automation  blackswan 
may 2017 by zryb
Mathematical Model Reveals the Patterns of How Innovations Arise
*The "adjacent possible" works great until your broken urn spills all its balls
BlackSwan  from twitter_favs
january 2017 by zzkt

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