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Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Future? - The Atlantic
Hedgehogs are deeply and tightly focused. Some have spent their career studying one problem. Like Ehrlich and Simon, they fashion tidy theories of how the world works based on observations through the single lens of their specialty. Foxes, meanwhile, “draw from an eclectic array of traditions, and accept ambiguity and contradiction,” Tetlock wrote. Where hedgehogs represent narrowness, foxes embody breadth.

Incredibly, the hedgehogs performed especially poorly on long-term predictions within their specialty. They got worse as they accumulated experience and credentials in their field. The more information they had to work with, the more easily they could fit any story into their worldview.
Academia  Tetlock  predictions  AtlanticMonthly 
yesterday by HispanicPundit
What It’s Like to Work on a 30-Year-Old Macintosh - The Atlantic
I really do love his writing. The line about the cruel reality of putting words in order is great.
writing  ianbogost  apple  macintosh  retrocomputing  atlanticmonthly 
4 days ago by UltraNurd
'Looping' Created an Underground Insulin-Pump Market - The Atlantic
Pretty cool use of a security vulnerability to add capabilities not yet approved by the FDA.
hacking  healthcare  atlanticmonthly  opensource 
5 weeks ago by UltraNurd
Conservatives React Differently to Disgusting Pictures - The Atlantic
On how basic fundamental views of what is disgusting and repulsive can have a significant impact on ones political views.
Politics  psychology  Republicans  Democrats  AtlanticMonthly 
12 weeks ago by HispanicPundit
Mental Health Disorders Disproportionately Affect Graduate School Students
Alia Wong, in the Atlantic: "A new study by a team of Harvard-affiliated researchers highlights one of the consequences of these realities: Graduate students are disproportionately likely to struggle with mental-health issues."
academia  gradschool  mentalhealth  depression  atlanticmonthly 
january 2019 by warnick
Why Do Virgins Have the Happiest Marriages? - The Atlantic
“Contrary to conventional wisdom, when it comes to sex, less experience is better, at least for the marriage,” said W. Bradford Wilcox, a sociologist and senior fellow at the Institute for Family Studies (and an Atlantic contributor). In an earlier analysis, Wolfinger found that women with zero or one previous sex partners before marriage were also least likely to divorce, while those with 10 or more were most likely. These divorce-proof brides are an exclusive crew: By the 2010s, he writes, just 5 percent of new brides were virgins. And just 6 percent of their marriages dissolved within five years, compared with 20 percent for most people.
Marriage  Sex  genderissues  evolution  AtlanticMonthly 
january 2019 by HispanicPundit
The Astonishing History Locked in Whale Earwax - The Atlantic
Wow. Like ice cores but in whale ears! (Also who was collecting this stuff 150 years ago???)
via:breakfastquest  atlanticmonthly  whales  oceans  anthropocene  science  hunting  history 
november 2018 by UltraNurd
Substituting Beans for Beef Would Help the U.S. Meet Climate Goals - The Atlantic
I still think we need the policy solutions, but since those aren't forthcoming, individual distributed action is what we've got.
vegetarianism  atlanticmonthly  climatechange  beef  veganism 
october 2018 by UltraNurd
The Cruelty Is the Point - The Atlantic
Crimes against humanity and people laugh because it shows that they're a member of the same group.
racism  donaldtrump  opinion  atlanticmonthly 
october 2018 by UltraNurd
Me Too
Interesting personal piece by a woman who survived an attempted rape, noting that Kavanaugh has never apologized
supremecourt  rape  atlanticmonthly  patriarchy  gop 
september 2018 by UltraNurd
Lessons of the Seattle Plane Crash
Good overview of how we respond to systematic safety and security problems.
seattle  via:heymillah  atlanticmonthly  airplanes  security 
august 2018 by UltraNurd

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