#conservatives   49

Populism and Racial Animus in the 2018 Midterms — What the Hell Happened

Our analysis suggests that there is very little reason to believe that populism drove support for Trump in 2016 or Congressional Democrats in 2018. Racial animus is a much stronger predictor of partisan vote choice than populism. However, there is some evidence that Obama-Trump voters were motivated by populism, though as with past research, we find racism predicts Obama-Trump voting.
#conservatives  #us#elections  #us#racism  #us#trumpland  *polisci  %policystats  %stats  %econ 
6 days ago by lemeb
The GOP’s 2018 Autopsy: Democracy Is Our Enemy
Demographic change might very well give Democrats a durable edge in national elections over the coming decade. But by exploiting (and creatively exacerbating) our political system’s structural biases toward rural voters — and the extraordinary powers of our federal judiciary — Republicans can plausibly retain a “floor” of power high enough to frustrate progressive reform without expanding its existing coalition, or moderating ideologically. And in a two-party system, if the GOP can maintain power in the courts — and remain (at the very least) in perpetual striking distance of a Senate majority — then it would only ever take one ill-timed recession for Republicans to regain unified control of the federal government.

#conservatives  #us#elections  #us#dems  #us#trumpland  %😢 
8 days ago by lemeb
Opinion | Robert Mueller Is No Match for Fox News - The New York Times
The allure of a Mueller report lies in its imagined promise of a single, definitive truth capable of cutting through the haze of lies, confusion and “alternative facts.” But Mr. Corsi’s and Mr. Papadopoulos’s antics are a warning that this hope will inevitably fall short. Conspiracy theorists and prosecutors live in different worlds: The first, unmoored from truth; the second, devoted to proving facts beyond a reasonable doubt. Mr. Mueller has the power to charge Mr. Corsi for lying; he has already done so to Mr. Papadopoulos. Rather than crumbling, though, their falsehoods have continued to spread and grow — and they’ve taken root in the media ecosystem in which the president chooses to spend his days.
!write!readthenews  #us#affairerusse  #us#trumpland  #conservatives  #fakenews 
10 days ago by lemeb
The Left Case against Open Borders - American Affairs Journal
The destruction and abandonment of labor politics means that, at present, immigration issues can only play out within the framework of a culture war, fought entirely on moral grounds. In the heightened emotions of America’s public debate on migration, a simple moral and political dichotomy prevails. It is “right-wing” to be “against immigration” and “left-wing” to be “for immigration.” But the economics of migration tell a different story.

Useful Idiots

The transformation of open borders into a “Left” position is a very new phenomenon and runs counter to the history of the organized Left in fundamental ways. Open borders has long been a rallying cry of the business and free market Right. Drawing from neoclassical economists, these groups have advocated for liberalizing migration on the grounds of market rationality and economic freedom

a lot of people have decried this as a right-wing tucker carlson argument. i don’t know about this, but i’m clearly not sympathetic. also — not well written.
#$#labor  #immigration  #conservatives  #us#dems  %contrarian  %🔥 
16 days ago by lemeb
The Edge of Hip: Vice, the Brand - The New York Times
Few of Vice's fans or customers seem to realize just how deeply hostile Mr. McInnes is to the liberal live-and-let-live ethos of traditional bohemian culture. It is a fair bet that a majority of the downtown population opposed the Iraq war and dislikes the policies of George W. Bush. But in an interview Mr. McInnes advocated changing New York license plates to read ''Liberalism Gone Amok.'' Last month, he wrote an article for Patrick Buchanan in The American Conservative boasting of having converted Vice readers to conservatism.

He actually leans much further to the right than the Republican Party. His views are closer to a white supremacist's. ''I love being white and I think it's something to be very proud of,'' he said. ''I don't want our culture diluted. We need to close the borders now and let everyone assimilate to a Western, white, English-speaking way of life.''
!write!readthenews  !ihop  #conservatives  #xxi#nazi 
20 days ago by lemeb
The Voice of the ‘Intellectual Dark Web’ - POLITICO Magazine
Take a well-read piece published in September, “Academic Activists Send a Published Paper Down the Memory Hole,” written by Ted Hill, an emeritus professor of math at Georgia Tech. In it, Hill says that a mathematical paper he wrote about the possible evolutionary underpinnings of gender differences was pulled from two separate journals after an intimidation campaign by academic activists. I’m not a mathematician and am not able to adjudicate the validity of Hill’s research, which Lehmann tells me underwent two weeks of fact-checking by one of her editors. But Andrew Gelman, a statistician at Columbia University, wrote a post on his personal blog saying that Hill had “no direct evidence” that the paper had been discarded based on politics, rather than merit. “The most unfortunate part of the story,” Gelman wrote, “is the amplification of Hill’s post throughout Twitter, Quillette, 4chan, etc., abetted by thought leaders on Twitter, leading to noxious hatred spewed at Amie Wilkinson.” (Wilkinson is a math professor Hill had blamed for suppressing his work.)

“Noxious hatred,” and in particular misogyny, is rife in the comments on Hill’s article; the phrase “vaginal privilege” makes an appearance, as do predictable tirades against “whiny” feminists. Lehmann says she regrets not moderating those comments but that she isn’t worried about reasonable arguments on Quillette’s website being hijacked by unreasonable people. “We’ve become a place where people who don’t fit perfectly into a little box or a label can feel at home and not under pressure to identify with one tribe or another,” she says. I was curious, though, if there were certain political positions Lehmann would disavow, either personally or as an editor. Lehmann says that because she is an atheist, she feels alienated from the Christian right. “I would identify with the left if they were a little more old-school in their advocacy for workers,” she allowed, “but I’m not too bothered to be aligned with a political movement.”

But, I pressed, is she worried about extremists using Quillette articles about inflammatory matters like race and gender to validate their views? “We don’t want to be considered provocateurs,” she said. “We never publish anything about Milo Yiannopoulos”—the British polemicist formerly of Breitbart—“and we never defended him even though I would agree with him on free speech issues. We never respected his methods of causing outrage for the sake of it.” She did say that she wouldn’t want Quillette to be associated with “anything like ethno-nationalism” or “racist, bigoted viewpoints.” Ultimately, Lehmann says she can’t take responsibility for how posts will be interpreted. “If we are constantly inhibiting ourselves because we’re worried about people misusing our work,” she says, “that presents its own ethical problem and leads to a corrosion of honesty.”
!write!readthenews  #conservatives  #discourse  #$#journalism 
4 weeks ago by lemeb
Opinion | How the N.R.A. Builds Loyalty and Fanaticism - The New York Times
But the N.R.A. attracts incredible loyalty from its members. “That’s the critical thing people miss,” said Robert Spitzer, a political scientist at SUNY Cortland and the author of five books on gun policy. He said that the group combines a shared pastime with “ideological fervor.”

“It’s a layer on top of a hobby,” he said. “It’s bowling plus fanaticism.”

All N.R.A. members receive a subscription to one of the organization’s magazines. We studied one of them, The American Rifleman, for clues about how the N.R.A. spurs its members’ zealotry.

There are newer N.R.A. publications that focus expressly on gun rights. But The Rifleman has been published under its current title since 1923, revealing how the group has politicized and mobilized its members over the past century.
#conservatives  !write!readthenews  #us#trumpland 
4 weeks ago by lemeb
What Has Tucker Carlson become?
He had to do what he had to do. He didn’t have a choice. He has kids. DC has terrible public schools. His hands were tied. So, in addition to his staff positions, he took freelance jobs. He didn’t want to disappoint his family.

“I think this is true of almost everybody unless you happen to inherit a bunch of dough at a young age.” Carlson sounds cavalier as he says this, like the plight of sending kids to a private school in DC is the most relatable thing in history. I wonder about my own career in media. If providing for my kids was my only goal, I’d be back in my marketing job. Which reminds me, I need to check my bank account to make sure I can afford back-to-school shoes and after-school care.

I wonder which one of us is supposed to be the liberal elite media.
!write!readthenews  #conservatives 
september 2018 by lemeb
Britain’s political centre of gravity is moving left - Bagehot
The question at the heart of British politics is not whether it moves to the left, but what sort of left it moves to. Will it be a one nation Conservatism, committed to fixing capitalism from within, or the Venezuela-loving leftism long promoted by Mr Corbyn? To secure the first option, the Conservative Party needs to do more than take failing prisons into public control or increase spending on strained social services. It needs to demonstrate that it can reform capitalism even in the teeth of opposition from big business and Tory donors. Fluff that test and no amount of revelations about palling around with terrorists will keep Mr Corbyn out of Downing Street.
#$#monopoly  #brexit  #conservatives 
august 2018 by lemeb
Will the GOP become the party of white backlash? - The Washington Post
And what are the moral implications of a political strategy that employs racial and ethnic antagonism as a motivating factor? Is this really the set of values that Republican leaders want their children to absorb? Will conservatives so easily abandon conservatism for white identity politics? It is an approach to public life that will indelibly stain all who employ it — and all who excuse it.

“This is the question for Republicans going forward,” Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report told me. “Will the GOP be defined not just as the party of Trump but as the party that’s hostile to non-whites?” And what if there is no difference?
#conservatives  #us#trumpland 
july 2018 by lemeb
Donald Trump and norms: Resistance needs substance - Vox
But the insistence on exoticizing Trump — on seeing him not just as a threat to democracy and the rule of law but as a unique threat — necessarily tilts in that direction.

The five Republican justices on the Supreme Court aren’t endorsing purges of the voting rolls because Trump forced them, and the North Carolina GOP didn’t need Trump’s inspiration to introduce yet another effort to disenfranchise voters via strict ID laws. It was George H.W. Bush, not Trump, who abusively wielded the pardon power to curb the special prosecutor investigation into the Iran-Contra scandal, and John Boehner killed the Voting Rights Act long before anyone took Trump’s presidential aspirations seriously.

None of this is to excuse Trump’s various misdeeds in any way. It’s merely to say that the present peril is not so different from the perils of the past. The time-honored solution of trying to select charismatic candidates who propose popular ideas that will improve normal people’s lives remains the correct one.

#conservatives  #us#2020  #us#dems  #us#elections  #us#trumpland  %contrarian 
july 2018 by lemeb
Anthony Kennedy retirement: Why he joined Team Trump.
As Mark Stern and I noted on Tuesday, it was hard to see Kennedy’s concurrence in that case as anything more than a concession that the last adult in the room was now leaving the building. Maybe it’s a fitting end to his career to say that the man who wanted everyone to speak to one another civilly and respectfully did what everyone else has done this year and threw in the towel. It’s hardly a stretch to say that Kennedy’s lasting caution from Obergefell—the marriage equality decision—was his request that the nation resolve the oncoming conflict between gay rights and religious dissenters by “engag[ing] those who disagree with their view in an open and searching debate.”

Yeah, that didn’t happen.

And so the formerly “centrist” Anthony Kennedy ended his Supreme Court career by taking sides, not simply in the spate of bombshell 5–4 decisions that came out in recent weeks. He took sides in a rhetorical war about the suffering of Christian bakers and pregnancy centers, and the language of “no you’re the radical” he now directs at liberals with whom he could once find common cause.

11 seats on the court, folks
#conservatives  #us#justice  #us#dems  #us#2020  %explainer 
june 2018 by lemeb
Brexit’s Big Short: How Pollsters Helped Hedge Funds Beat the Crash - Bloomberg
Behind the scenes, a small group of people had a secret—and billions of dollars were at stake. Hedge funds aiming to win big from trades that day had hired YouGov and at least five other polling companies, including Farage's favorite pollster. Their services, on the day and in the days leading up to the vote, varied, but pollsters sold hedge funds critical, advance information, including data that would have been illegal for them to give the public. Some hedge funds gained confidence, through private exit polls, that most Britons had voted to leave the EU, or that the vote was far closer than the public believed—knowledge pollsters provided while voting was still underway and hours ahead of official tallies. These hedge funds were in the perfect position to earn fortunes by short selling the British pound. Others learned the likely outcome of public, potentially market-moving polls before they were published, offering surefire trades.
The phones in YouGov’s offices rang like mad in the days between the Scottish polls and the referendum. Hedge fund executives were among those on the line. If YouGov was conducting another poll before the vote, traders said, they’d be willing to pay vast sums for a heads-up just 30 minutes to an hour before publication, according to two knowledgeable sources. Since news of the poll alone likely would move markets, the survey’s accuracy was meaningless; traders simply needed to know the results before they became public. They offered YouGov several multiples more than the newspapers had paid to commission the polls in the first place, the two insiders recalled. YouGov rejected these offers, the insiders said. Survation, along with at least one other pollster, saw other opportunities.
#$#monopoly  #conservatives  %longform  #$#cashstash  #brexit  !write!readthenews  #$#cons  %journalism 
june 2018 by lemeb
Nikki Haley: ‘It is patently ridiculous for the United Nations to examine poverty in America’ - The Washington Post
A United Nations report condemning entrenched poverty in the United States is a "misleading and politically motivated" document about "the wealthiest and freest country in the world," the Trump administration's top U.N. official said.

U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley criticized the report for critiquing the United States' treatment of its poor, arguing that the United Nations should instead focus on poverty in developing countries such as Burundi and Congo Republic. The U.N. report also faulted the Trump administration for pursuing policies it said would exacerbate U.S. poverty.

"It is patently ridiculous for the United Nations to examine poverty in America," Haley wrote in a letter to Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) on Thursday.
%policystats  #us#trumpland  #conservatives 
june 2018 by lemeb
How the Koch Brothers Are Killing Public Transit Projects Around the Country - The New York Times
The Kochs’ opposition to transit spending stems from their longstanding free-market, libertarian philosophy. It also dovetails with their financial interests, which benefit from automobiles and highways.

One of the mainstay companies of Koch Industries, the Kochs’ conglomerate, is a major producer of gasoline and asphalt, and also makes seatbelts, tires and other automotive parts. Even as Americans for Prosperity opposes public investment in transit, it supports spending tax money on highways and roads.
~liberatarianism  !write!readthenews  !write!revuedepresse  %explainer  %journalism  #$#ineq  #conservatives  #us#elections  #activism 
june 2018 by lemeb
Trump’s Muse on U.S. Trade with China | The New Yorker
Navarro is the only Ph.D. economist I was able to find who enthusiastically supports Trump. I can’t say there aren’t any others, but, in weeks of reporting, I have not been able to find any. As a likely place to start, I used a letter that three hundred and five economists wrote expressing their concerns about Hillary Clinton’s economic policies. The letter was, pointedly, not an endorsement of Donald Trump, though Moore did tell me he helped craft it. I reached out to dozens of the economists who signed the letter. Most had responses like Lloyd Cohen, of George Mason University: “These are two of the most unattractive human beings one could possibly imagine running for President.” Howard Baetjer, Jr., of Towson University, wrote, “No! I don’t endorse Trump! That’s dreadful to contemplate. No, I especially deplore his ignorant, inhumane, and economically damaging immigration and trade policies.” A handful said they might vote for Trump as the lesser of two evils. To be fair, I did not reach every letter signer, nor did I contact every economist in the United States. However, even in this select group of anti-Clinton economist partisans, the percentage who express enthusiastic support for Trump is shockingly small. The number may turn out to be no more than one: Peter Navarro.

#us#trumpland  #conservatives  %econ 
june 2018 by lemeb
The Deep Roots of Trump’s War on the Press - POLITICO Magazine
For those on the American political right, hostility toward the media is hardly new. Feeling underrepresented in major newsrooms in the 1950s, conservatives launched publications like National Review and Human Events to bring parity to journalism. But this did little to change the perception among Republicans of inherent, and increasingly shameless, bias among the premier news outfits. Dwight D. Eisenhower, after leaving the White House, ripped the “sensation-seeking columnists and commentators” at Goldwater’s 1964 convention, saying they “couldn't care less about the good of our party.” Vice President Spiro Agnew ratcheted up the rhetoric a few years later on behalf of Nixon, giving his famous 1969 speech in Des Moines decrying the “small and unelected elite” who possess a “profound influence over public opinion” without any checks on their “vast power.” And, revisionist history notwithstanding, “The truth is, Ronald Reagan was in a fight with the media his entire career,” says former Speaker Newt Gingrich. “Years ago, one of Reagan’s campaign advisers told me, ‘Don’t forget that none of these people are your friends. They despise your values, they despise your party.’”

Heading into the twilight of the Reagan era, conservatives still had no real mechanism for challenging the press. Enter the Media Research Center in 1987. Equipped with seven phones, two desks and a black-and-white TV, its small staff got up and running thanks to one big donor—who has since died, but whose eternal anonymity Bozell guaranteed. Working around the clock, the team began cataloging every instance of perceived ideological prejudice in the major print outlets and on the evening newscasts.

!write!readthenews  #conservatives 
may 2018 by lemeb
Week in review by Andrew L. Shea | The New Criterion
the new criterion quoting the wall street journal review about the bbc reboot of civilization:
there is one respect in which ‘Civilizations’ is decidedly not value-free, and that is in its attitude toward the West. If there are any barbarians in this series, they are the denizens of Europe, who are nearly always depicted as racists, conquerors, looters, slave owners, colonialists, and originators of the lurid ‘male gaze’ in art

fuck you.
#xxi#culture  %criticism  #conservatives  %reactionary 
may 2018 by lemeb

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